Carrick Rangers
vs
Linfield
2 – 2 Full time
| 11′ | K. Moore | ||
| 24′ | P. Heatley | ||
| 40′ | M. Fitzpatrick | ||
| 52′ | D. Gibson | ||
| 69′ | K. NelsonA. Frizzell | ||
| 69′ | R. BrennanD. Wells | ||
| 80′ | A. LeckyD. O'Conchubhair | ||
| 82′ | E. McGee | ||
| 86′ | C. ShieldsJ. Mulgrew |
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Carrick Rangers vs Linfield
| Probability | Carrick Rangers | Draw | Linfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.0% | 27.4% | 43.6% |
| Market | 25.1% | 25.6% | 49.3% |
| Final | 26.1% | 26.0% | 47.9% |
| Edge | +3.9% | +1.8% | -5.7% |
Why Linfield
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Carrick Rangers and Linfield expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Carrick Rangers and Linfield attack and defence ratings
Carrick Rangers
Linfield
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield: result vs prediction
Carrick Rangers 2 – 2 Linfield
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Linfield | 47.9% | 2.09 | -5.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrick Rangers | 26.1% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Linfield | 47.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% |
| No | 43.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Linfield win | 22.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 56.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 8.4% |
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield stats
Carrick Rangers and Linfield recent form
| Carrick Rangers |
WWLLDL |
| Linfield |
WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Carrick Rangers and Linfield going into this match
Carrick Rangers record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Linfield record
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Linfield | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Carrick Rangers | Linfield | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Carrick Rangers | Linfield | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Linfield | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2025-01-11 | Linfield | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Carrick Rangers | Linfield | Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2024-09-21 | Linfield | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-02 | Carrick Rangers | Linfield | Premiership | 2-3 |
| 2023-10-13 | Carrick Rangers | Linfield | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2023-08-26 | Linfield | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.3%, draw 25.3%, away 49.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.64 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.13 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 3.55 | 3.60 | 1.88 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| Dafabet | 3.65 | 3.70 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 3.56 | 3.54 | 1.80 |
| Pinnacle | 3.85 | 3.86 | 1.88 |
| William Hill | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .