Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 12

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown

1 – 2 Full time

Solitude, Belfast

Cliftonville FC 51%
Draw 25%
Portadown 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cliftonville FC vs Portadown

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCliftonville FCDrawPortadown
Model44.2%30.6%25.2%
Market53.7%23.3%23.0%
Final51.3%25.1%23.6%
Edge-9.4%+7.3%+2.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Cliftonville FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.94.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cliftonville F ↓ / Portadown → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Cliftonville FC and Portadown expected goals

Cliftonville FC 1.32
Portadown 0.94

Total expected goals: 2.26

Cliftonville FC and Portadown attack and defence ratings

Cliftonville FC

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Portadown

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown: result vs prediction

Cliftonville FC 1 – 2 Portadown

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cliftonville FC 51.3% 1.95 -9.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 54.0% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.4% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.8% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cliftonville FC51.3%
Draw25.1%
Portadown23.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.4%
Under 2.560.6%
Both teams to scoreYes46.0%
No54.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.4%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)48.7%
Handicap -1Cliftonville FC win21.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss55.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
1-012.5%
0-011.7%

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown stats

Cliftonville FC and Portadown recent form

newest first
Cliftonville FC LLLLLW
Portadown DWLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cliftonville FC and Portadown going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cliftonville FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.

Portadown record

  • They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Cliftonville FC wins 1Draws 4Portadown wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-05Cliftonville FCPortadownNorthern Ireland Premiership3-1
2026-03-04PortadownCliftonville FCNorthern Ireland Premiership0-2
2025-11-29PortadownCliftonville FCNorthern Ireland Premiership2-3
2025-09-27Cliftonville FCPortadownNorthern Ireland Premiership1-2
2025-04-19PortadownCliftonville FCPremiership2-0
2025-02-09Cliftonville FCPortadownPremiership2-2
2024-12-14PortadownCliftonville FCPremiership2-0
2024-08-11Cliftonville FCPortadownPremiership1-0
2024-03-01PortadownCliftonville FCIrish Cup0-2
2023-07-08Cliftonville FCPortadownFriendlies Clubs1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.7%, draw 23.4%, away 22.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.68 3.86 3.98
Bet365 1.67 3.80 3.80
BetVictor 1.60 3.30 3.70
Betano 1.70 3.80 4.20
Betfair 1.62 4.00 4.50
Dafabet 1.74 3.95 4.10
Marathonbet 1.66 3.86 3.90
Pinnacle 1.79 4.15 3.95
William Hill 1.75 3.90 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.67 ▲ +0.10
X 3.86 ▼ -0.17
2 3.90 ▼ -0.75

12 snapshots recorded, from .