Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 11

Portadown vs Glentoran

0 – 0 Full time

Shamrock Park, Portadown

Portadown 20%
Draw 23%
Glentoran 57%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Portadown vs Glentoran overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Portadown vs Glentoran

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPortadownDrawGlentoran
Model21.7%25.7%52.6%
Market19.0%22.4%58.6%
Final19.7%23.2%57.1%
Edge+2.7%+3.3%-6.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Glentoran

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.06.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Portadown ↓ / Glentoran → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 9% 1 12% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Portadown and Glentoran expected goals

Portadown 1.06
Glentoran 1.76

Total expected goals: 2.82

Portadown and Glentoran attack and defence ratings

Portadown

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Glentoran

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Portadown vs Glentoran: result vs prediction

Portadown 0 – 0 Glentoran

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Portadown vs Glentoran markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Glentoran 57.1% 1.75 -6.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.5% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.2% 1.81 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.3% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.4% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Portadown19.7%
Draw23.2%
Glentoran57.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.5%
Under 2.546.5%
Both teams to scoreYes55.2%
No44.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)42.9%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)80.3%
Handicap -1Glentoran win29.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss47.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
1-29.8%
0-19.4%

Portadown vs Glentoran stats

Portadown and Glentoran recent form

newest first
Portadown WLLDLL
Glentoran WWWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Portadown and Glentoran going into this match

league record before kick-off

Portadown record

  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Glentoran record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.

Portadown vs Glentoran head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1Portadown wins 0Draws 8Glentoran wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-30GlentoranPortadownNorthern Ireland Premiership2-1
2025-10-31GlentoranPortadownNorthern Ireland Premiership2-1
2025-08-09PortadownGlentoranNorthern Ireland Premiership0-1
2024-12-30PortadownGlentoranPremiership0-2
2024-11-16GlentoranPortadownPremiership0-2
2024-08-17PortadownGlentoranPremiership1-2
2023-04-01GlentoranPortadownPremiership5-1
2023-02-04PortadownGlentoranIrish Cup0-3
2022-11-26PortadownGlentoranPremiership0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Portadown vs Glentoran odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.0%, draw 22.4%, away 58.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.78 4.05 1.54
Bet365 4.50 4.33 1.55
BetVictor 4.40 3.50 1.45
Betano 4.75 4.10 1.57
Betfair 5.00 4.00 1.53
Dafabet 5.00 4.20 1.57
Marathonbet 4.70 4.05 1.52
Pinnacle 5.00 4.41 1.59
William Hill 4.80 4.00 1.57

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.78 ▼ -0.10
X 4.05 ▼ -0.15
2 1.55 ▼ -0.02

12 snapshots recorded, from .