Coleraine FC
vs
Cliftonville FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Coleraine FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC
| Probability | Coleraine FC | Draw | Cliftonville FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.4% | 21.7% | 16.9% |
| Market | 67.4% | 19.6% | 13.0% |
| Final | 65.9% | 20.1% | 14.0% |
| Edge | -6.1% | +2.1% | +3.9% |
Why Coleraine FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC match preview
Coleraine FC enters the match against Cliftonville FC with a strong probability of winning at 62%. Their recent form shows a solid performance, with four wins in their last six matches, while Cliftonville has struggled, recording four losses in their last six games. The expected goals for Coleraine are 2.14, significantly higher than Cliftonville's 1.02, indicating a potential advantage in offensive output.
Historically, Coleraine has had the upper hand in their last four encounters, securing two wins and one draw against Cliftonville's single victory. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 61%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 57%, suggesting a competitive match with potential for multiple goals. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-1 in favor of Coleraine.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.25
Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC attack and defence ratings
Coleraine FC
Cliftonville FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coleraine FC | 65.9% | 1.52 | -6.1% | 1.40 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Coleraine FC win | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coleraine FC | 65.9% |
| Draw | 20.1% | |
| Cliftonville FC | 14.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% |
| No | 40.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Coleraine FC win | 39.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 38.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.2% |
Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC stats
Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC recent form
| Coleraine FC |
WLWWWW |
| Cliftonville FC |
LLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC season so far
Coleraine FC record
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Cliftonville FC record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Coleraine FC | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 6-2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Coleraine FC | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Cliftonville FC | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Cliftonville FC | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Coleraine FC | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-18 | Coleraine FC | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-04 | Coleraine FC | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-22 | Cliftonville FC | Coleraine FC | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Coleraine FC | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-10 | Cliftonville FC | Coleraine FC | Premiership | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.4%, draw 19.6%, away 13.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 4.65 | 7.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.38 | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.37 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 4.65 | 6.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 5.09 | 7.08 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .