Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 11

Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC

1 – 0 Full time

13′M. Shevlin
21′S. Leppard
41′M. Shevlin
43′Cliftonville FC
48′B. Doherty
52′R. Slevin
55′R. SlevinL. Kane
63′O. SamuelsL. Conlan
70′R. CampbellJ. Sheridan
72′H. Wilson
84′H. WilsonC. Murray
84′B. HealyJ. Gormley
84′D. BoyleL. Ives

The Showgrounds, Coleraine

Coleraine FC 66%
Draw 20%
Cliftonville FC 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColeraine FCDrawCliftonville FC
Model61.4%21.7%16.9%
Market67.3%19.7%13.1%
Final65.8%20.2%14.0%
Edge-1.5%+0.5%+1.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Coleraine FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.08.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Coleraine FC ↓ / Cliftonville F → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC expected goals

Coleraine FC 2.17
Cliftonville FC 1.08

Total expected goals: 3.25

Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC attack and defence ratings

Coleraine FC

Attack 1.43 +43%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Cliftonville FC

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC: result vs prediction

Coleraine FC 1 – 0 Cliftonville FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Coleraine FC 65.8% 1.52 -1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.1% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.4% 1.68 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.0% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Coleraine FC win 39.3% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Coleraine FC65.8%
Draw20.2%
Cliftonville FC14.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.1%
Under 2.536.9%
Both teams to scoreYes59.4%
No40.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.0%
12 (either side)79.8%
X2 (draw or away)34.2%
Handicap -1Coleraine FC win39.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss38.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.0%
2-19.9%
2-09.1%

Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC stats

Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Coleraine FC and Cliftonville FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Coleraine FC record

  • They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Cliftonville FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Coleraine FC wins 4Draws 4Cliftonville FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Coleraine FCCliftonville FCNorthern Ireland Premiership6-2
2026-03-14Coleraine FCCliftonville FCNorthern Ireland Premiership1-0
2025-11-22Cliftonville FCColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership1-0
2025-08-16Cliftonville FCColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership0-0
2025-05-11Coleraine FCCliftonville FCPremiership0-2
2025-03-18Coleraine FCCliftonville FCPremiership2-2
2025-02-04Coleraine FCCliftonville FCPremiership0-0
2024-10-22Cliftonville FCColeraine FCPremiership2-1
2024-04-06Coleraine FCCliftonville FCPremiership2-2
2024-02-10Cliftonville FCColeraine FCPremiership4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.3%, draw 19.7%, away 13.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.33 4.65 7.18
Bet365 1.40 4.60 6.25
BetVictor 1.30 3.90 5.75
Betano 1.38 4.60 6.60
Betfair 1.30 4.75 7.00
Dafabet 1.37 5.00 7.00
Marathonbet 1.32 4.65 6.85
Pinnacle 1.37 5.22 7.35
William Hill 1.36 4.80 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 —
X 4.65 ▼ -0.10
2 7.00 —

11 snapshots recorded, from .