Limavady United
vs
Ballymena United
3 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | J. Archer | ||
| 15′ | F. Thorndike | ||
| 30′ | A. MullanO. Duffy | ||
| 41′ | R. BrownJ. Riley | ||
| 45′ | J. McGonigle | ||
| 47′ | J. Riley | ||
| 54′ | P. Lowry | ||
| 64′ | Limavady United | ||
| 66′ | C. AllenM. Leetch | ||
| 68′ | F. SuleS. Fallon | ||
| 68′ | F. ThorndikeS. Murray | ||
| 76′ | Limavady United | ||
| 79′ | S. O'Donnell | ||
| 86′ | Limavady United |
Limavady United vs Ballymena United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Limavady United vs Ballymena United
| Probability | Limavady United | Draw | Ballymena United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.7% | 29.6% | 41.7% |
| Market | 27.4% | 25.2% | 47.4% |
| Final | 27.8% | 26.3% | 46.0% |
| Edge | +0.3% | +1.1% | -1.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Limavady United and Ballymena United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Limavady United and Ballymena United attack and defence ratings
Limavady United
Ballymena United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Limavady United vs Ballymena United: result vs prediction
Limavady United 3 – 2 Ballymena United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Limavady United vs Ballymena United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballymena United | 46.0% | 2.17 | -1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Limavady United | 27.8% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Ballymena United | 46.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ballymena United win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | |
| 0-0 | 9.9% |
Limavady United vs Ballymena United stats
Limavady United and Ballymena United recent form
| Limavady United |
LWLWWL |
| Ballymena United |
WWDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Limavady United and Ballymena United going into this match
Limavady United record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Ballymena United record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Limavady United vs Ballymena United head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-06 | Limavady United | Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2023-07-08 | Limavady United | Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2022-07-23 | Limavady United | Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Limavady United vs Ballymena United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.4%, draw 25.2%, away 47.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.36 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.97 |
| Marathonbet | 3.28 | 3.55 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 3.45 | 3.83 | 2.00 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .