Limavady United
vs
Ballymena United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ballymena United
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Limavady United vs Ballymena United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Limavady United vs Ballymena United
| Probability | Limavady United | Draw | Ballymena United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.7% | 29.6% | 41.7% |
| Market | 27.4% | 25.2% | 47.4% |
| Final | 27.8% | 26.3% | 46.0% |
| Edge | +1.3% | +4.5% | -5.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.97, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Limavady United vs Ballymena United match preview
Limavady United will face Ballymena United in the Northern Ireland Premiership on October 10, 2026. The model probabilities indicate a competitive match, with Ballymena United holding a slight edge at 42%, compared to Limavady United's 29% and a 30% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 10% probability.
In terms of expected goals, Limavady United is projected to score 1.09, while Ballymena United is expected to net 1.36. Recent form shows Limavady United with mixed results, having won two of their last six matches, while Ballymena United has a more stable performance, with three wins and three draws in their last six outings. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 44%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 51%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Limavady United and Ballymena United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
Limavady United and Ballymena United attack and defence ratings
Limavady United
Ballymena United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Limavady United vs Ballymena United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballymena United | 46.0% | 2.18 | -5.8% | 1.97 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Limavady United | 27.8% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Ballymena United | 46.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ballymena United win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | |
| 0-0 | 10.0% |
Limavady United vs Ballymena United stats
Limavady United and Ballymena United recent form
| Limavady United |
LWLWWL |
| Ballymena United |
WWDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Limavady United and Ballymena United season so far
Limavady United record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Ballymena United record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Limavady United vs Ballymena United head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-06 | Limavady United | Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2023-07-08 | Limavady United | Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2022-07-23 | Limavady United | Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Limavady United vs Ballymena United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.4%, draw 25.2%, away 47.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.36 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.70 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.97 |
| Marathonbet | 3.28 | 3.55 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 3.39 | 3.78 | 1.96 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .