Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 12

Glentoran vs Limavady United

1 – 0 Full time

46′G. SloggettP. Hoban
59′D. Lafferty
62′J. JenkinsJ. Daniels
66′J. RileyJ. Butcher
67′A. McEneffJ. Douglas
67′C. McMenaminB. Gallagher
70′J. Malone
75′M. KaneC. Rogers-Duffy
80′S. LowryA. Jarvis
86′C. Rogers-Duffy
90′J. McGonigle
90′D. Larmour

The BetMcLean Oval, Belfast

Glentoran 64%
Draw 21%
Limavady United 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Glentoran vs Limavady United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Glentoran vs Limavady United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGlentoranDrawLimavady United
Model47.7%28.8%23.5%
Market69.7%18.1%12.2%
Final64.2%20.7%15.0%
Edge-22.0%+10.7%+11.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Glentoran

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.97.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Glentoran ↓ / Limavady Unite → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 7% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Glentoran and Limavady United expected goals

Glentoran 1.47
Limavady United 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.44

Glentoran and Limavady United attack and defence ratings

Glentoran

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Limavady United

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Glentoran vs Limavady United: result vs prediction

Glentoran 1 – 0 Limavady United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Glentoran vs Limavady United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Glentoran 64.2% 1.56 -22.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.0% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score No 51.0% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.0% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.3% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Glentoran64.2%
Draw20.7%
Limavady United15.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.0%
Under 2.556.0%
Both teams to scoreYes49.0%
No51.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.0%
12 (either side)79.3%
X2 (draw or away)35.8%
Handicap -1Glentoran win24.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss52.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-011.6%
0-010.0%

Glentoran vs Limavady United stats

Glentoran and Limavady United recent form

newest first
Glentoran DWWWLD
Limavady United WLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Glentoran and Limavady United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Glentoran record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Limavady United record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.

Glentoran vs Limavady United head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Glentoran wins 0Draws 1Limavady United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08GlentoranLimavady UnitedNorthern Ireland Premiership2-0
2025-08-02Limavady UnitedGlentoranFriendlies Clubs1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Glentoran vs Limavady United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 69.7%, draw 18.1%, away 12.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.29 5.00 7.65
Bet365 1.30 4.75 7.50
BetVictor 1.25 4.10 6.50
Betano 1.33 5.00 7.30
Betfair 1.29 4.75 9.00
Dafabet 1.34 5.20 7.40
Marathonbet 1.28 5.00 7.30
Pinnacle 1.33 5.61 7.73
William Hill 1.33 5.00 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.29 ▲ +0.01
X 5.00 ▼ -0.05
2 7.40 ▼ -0.33

13 snapshots recorded, from .