Coleraine FC
vs
Glentoran
Garuda Lions Prediction: Coleraine FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.05.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Coleraine FC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Coleraine FC vs Glentoran overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Coleraine FC vs Glentoran
| Probability | Coleraine FC | Draw | Glentoran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.3% | 26.8% | 22.9% |
| Market | 52.3% | 24.6% | 23.1% |
| Final | 51.8% | 25.2% | 23.0% |
| Edge | -0.5% | +0.5% | -0.0% |
Why Coleraine FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (our 51.8% × 1.78 − 1).
Coleraine FC vs Glentoran match preview
Coleraine FC faces Glentoran in the Northern Ireland Premiership with Coleraine holding a 44% probability of winning, while both a draw and a Glentoran victory sit at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Coleraine, occurring with a 9% probability. Expected goals for Coleraine are at 1.52, compared to Glentoran's 1.15, indicating a slight edge for the home side in offensive potential.
Recent form shows Coleraine with three wins followed by a loss and two more victories, while Glentoran has two wins, a draw, and a recent loss. In their last ten encounters, Coleraine has secured three wins, while Glentoran has five, with two matches ending in draws. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Coleraine FC and Glentoran expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
Coleraine FC and Glentoran attack and defence ratings
Coleraine FC
Glentoran
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Coleraine FC vs Glentoran markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coleraine FC | 51.8% | 1.93 | -0.5% | 1.78 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coleraine FC | 51.8% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Glentoran | 23.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Coleraine FC win | 27.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.0% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
Coleraine FC vs Glentoran stats
Coleraine FC and Glentoran recent form
| Coleraine FC |
WWWWLW |
| Glentoran |
WDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Coleraine FC and Glentoran season so far
Coleraine FC record
- They have won 10 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Glentoran record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Coleraine FC vs Glentoran head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Glentoran | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Coleraine FC | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership | 6-2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Glentoran | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-03 | Glentoran | Coleraine FC | League Cup | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Glentoran | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Coleraine FC | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-01 | Glentoran | Coleraine FC | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-14 | Coleraine FC | Glentoran | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-26 | Coleraine FC | Glentoran | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-20 | Glentoran | Coleraine FC | Premiership | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Coleraine FC vs Glentoran odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.3%, draw 24.6%, away 23.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 3.62 | 3.97 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.70 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.62 | 3.88 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 3.90 | 4.07 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.70 | 3.90 |