Limavady United
vs
Crusaders FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Limavady United
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.08.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Limavady United vs Crusaders FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Limavady United vs Crusaders FC
| Probability | Limavady United | Draw | Crusaders FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.8% | 24.6% | 20.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.8% | 24.6% | 20.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Limavady United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Limavady United vs Crusaders FC match preview
In the upcoming match between Limavady United and Crusaders FC, the probabilities suggest a favorable outlook for Limavady United, with a 55% chance of winning compared to 21% for Crusaders FC. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Limavady United, which aligns with an expected goals metric of 1.87 for Limavady and 1.08 for Crusaders.
Both teams have had mixed recent performances, with Limavady United's last five matches resulting in two wins, one draw, and two losses, while Crusaders FC has struggled, losing four of their last five games. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 56%, and both teams scoring is projected at 57%, indicating an expectation for a competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Limavady United and Crusaders FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Limavady United and Crusaders FC attack and defence ratings
Limavady United
Crusaders FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Limavady United vs Crusaders FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Limavady United | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Limavady United | 54.8% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Crusaders FC | 20.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Limavady United win | 32.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 45.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.2% |
Limavady United vs Crusaders FC stats
Limavady United and Crusaders FC recent form
| Limavady United |
DLWLWL |
| Crusaders FC |
LLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Limavady United and Crusaders FC season so far
Limavady United record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
Crusaders FC record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Limavady United vs Crusaders FC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Crusaders FC | Limavady United | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-10 | Crusaders FC | Limavady United | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-01 | Crusaders FC | Limavady United | Irish Cup | 1-0 |
| 2019-10-08 | Limavady United | Crusaders FC | League Cup | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.