Dungannon Swifts
vs
Limavady United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dungannon Swifts
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Dungannon Swifts is the favourite, not a value bet.
Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United
| Probability | Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Limavady United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.5% | 29.8% | 31.7% |
| Market | 58.3% | 22.6% | 19.1% |
| Final | 53.4% | 24.4% | 22.2% |
| Edge | -4.9% | +1.8% | +3.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.61, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.1% per unit staked (our 53.4% × 1.61 − 1).
Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United match preview
Dungannon Swifts face Limavady United in the Northern Ireland Premiership with a probability model suggesting a 39% chance of a home win for Dungannon, while Limavady has a 32% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Dungannon, with an expected goals tally of 1.30 for Dungannon and 1.15 for Limavady.
Recent form shows Dungannon Swifts with a record of D-L-D-L-L-D, while Limavady United has L-D-D-L-W-L. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Dungannon has secured two wins, with Limavady yet to register a victory. The model indicates a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance for both teams to score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dungannon Swifts and Limavady United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Dungannon Swifts and Limavady United attack and defence ratings
Dungannon Swifts
Limavady United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dungannon Swifts | 53.4% | 1.87 | -4.9% | 1.61 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dungannon Swifts | 53.4% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Limavady United | 22.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dungannon Swifts win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 61.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.9% | |
| 1-0 | 9.9% |
Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United stats
Dungannon Swifts and Limavady United recent form
| Dungannon Swifts |
DLDLLD |
| Limavady United |
LDDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dungannon Swifts and Limavady United season so far
Dungannon Swifts record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Limavady United record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Limavady United | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2018-08-28 | Dungannon Swifts | Limavady United | League Cup | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.3%, draw 22.6%, away 19.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.05 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 4.32 | 4.86 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .