Bangor
vs
Crusaders FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bangor
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Bangor is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bangor vs Crusaders FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bangor vs Crusaders FC
| Probability | Bangor | Draw | Crusaders FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.4% | 26.2% | 34.4% |
| Market | 44.3% | 25.9% | 29.8% |
| Final | 43.1% | 26.0% | 30.9% |
| Edge | -1.2% | +0.1% | +1.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.1% per unit staked (our 43.1% × 2.11 − 1).
Bangor vs Crusaders FC match preview
Bangor faces Crusaders FC in the Northern Ireland Premiership with a probability of 43% for a Bangor win, 31% for a Crusaders victory, and 26% for a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Bangor, with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals are 1.64 for Bangor and 1.38 for Crusaders FC, suggesting a competitive match.
Recent form shows Bangor with one win in their last six matches (L-D-L-L-L-W), while Crusaders FC has also struggled, recording one win in their last six (L-L-L-L-W-L). In their last seven encounters, Bangor has secured one win, Crusaders FC has four wins, and there have been two draws. The model indicates a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bangor and Crusaders FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.06
Bangor and Crusaders FC attack and defence ratings
Bangor
Crusaders FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bangor vs Crusaders FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bangor | 43.1% | 2.32 | -1.2% | 2.11 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bangor | 43.1% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Crusaders FC | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.3% |
| No | 37.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bangor win | 20.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 60.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Bangor vs Crusaders FC stats
Bangor and Crusaders FC recent form
| Bangor |
WLDLLL |
| Crusaders FC |
WLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bangor and Crusaders FC season so far
Bangor record
- They have won 2 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
Crusaders FC record
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Bangor vs Crusaders FC head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Crusaders FC | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Crusaders FC | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Crusaders FC | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Bangor | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Bangor | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2023-02-03 | Bangor | Crusaders FC | Irish Cup | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-07 | Crusaders FC | Bangor | Friendlies Clubs | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bangor vs Crusaders FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 25.9%, away 29.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.46 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.07 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.46 | 2.99 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.78 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .