Cliftonville FC
vs
Carrick Rangers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cliftonville FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Cliftonville FC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers
| Probability | Cliftonville FC | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 26.6% | 37.2% |
| Market | 44.5% | 24.0% | 31.5% |
| Final | 42.4% | 24.6% | 33.0% |
| Edge | -2.1% | +0.7% | +1.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.08, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.8% per unit staked (our 42.4% × 2.08 − 1).
Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers match preview
Cliftonville FC faces Carrick Rangers in the Northern Ireland Premiership with a predicted scoreline of 2-1, occurring on October 31, 2026. Cliftonville FC has a 42% probability of winning, while Carrick Rangers stands at 33%, with a 25% chance for a draw. The expected goals are closely matched, with Cliftonville FC at 1.48 and Carrick Rangers at 1.50.
In terms of recent form, Cliftonville FC has struggled, recording six consecutive games without a win, while Carrick Rangers has shown more resilience with two wins and two draws in their last six matches. Historically, Cliftonville FC has dominated their head-to-head encounters, winning eight of the last ten meetings against Carrick Rangers, who have only secured two victories. The model indicates a 57% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cliftonville FC and Carrick Rangers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Cliftonville FC and Carrick Rangers attack and defence ratings
Cliftonville FC
Carrick Rangers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cliftonville FC | 42.4% | 2.36 | -2.1% | 2.08 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cliftonville FC | 42.4% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Carrick Rangers | 33.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% |
| No | 38.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cliftonville FC win | 17.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers stats
Cliftonville FC and Carrick Rangers recent form
| Cliftonville FC |
WLLLLL |
| Carrick Rangers |
DDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cliftonville FC and Carrick Rangers season so far
Cliftonville FC record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Carrick Rangers record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2026-01-17 | Cliftonville FC | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-25 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-01 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2025-03-22 | Cliftonville FC | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2025-02-12 | Cliftonville FC | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2024-01-26 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-19 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 24.0%, away 31.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.68 | 2.89 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.85 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.68 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 4.13 | 2.89 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.80 | 2.90 |