Dungannon Swifts
vs
Cliftonville FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dungannon Swifts
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC
| Probability | Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Cliftonville FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.7% | 31.8% | 33.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.7% | 31.8% | 33.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC match preview
Dungannon Swifts will face Cliftonville FC in a closely contested match, with model probabilities indicating a 35% chance of a Dungannon victory, a 32% likelihood of a draw, and a 33% chance for Cliftonville. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Dungannon, occurring at an 11% probability. Both teams have struggled recently, with Dungannon recording a series of poor results, while Cliftonville has lost five consecutive matches before their recent win.
Expected goals suggest a tight encounter, with Dungannon Swifts at 1.11 and Cliftonville FC at 1.09. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 38%, while both teams scoring is estimated at 46%. Historically, Dungannon has had the upper hand in their last ten meetings, securing five wins compared to Cliftonville's three.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dungannon Swifts and Cliftonville FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
Dungannon Swifts and Cliftonville FC attack and defence ratings
Dungannon Swifts
Cliftonville FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dungannon Swifts | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dungannon Swifts | 34.7% |
| Draw | 31.8% | |
| Cliftonville FC | 33.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.8% |
| No | 54.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dungannon Swifts win | 14.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 65.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 12.5% | |
| 1-0 | 11.0% |
Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC stats
Dungannon Swifts and Cliftonville FC recent form
| Dungannon Swifts |
DLLDLL |
| Cliftonville FC |
LLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dungannon Swifts and Cliftonville FC season so far
Dungannon Swifts record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cliftonville FC record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Irish Cup | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Dungannon Swifts | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Dungannon Swifts | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Irish Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-12 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Dungannon Swifts | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.