Larne
vs
Limavady United
1 – 1 Full time
| 60′ | A. GastonS. Lowry | ||
| 63′ | J. McEneffC. McKendry | ||
| 69′ | J. McGonigleO. Duffy | ||
| 70′ | R. Wilson | ||
| 76′ | D. SloanJ. Simpson | ||
| 76′ | S. GrahamL. Millar | ||
| 81′ | A. Donnelly | ||
| 86′ | S. Lowry | ||
| 86′ | M. Gallagher | ||
| 87′ | R. Wilson | ||
| 87′ | L. ToshL. Boyd |
Larne vs Limavady United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Larne vs Limavady United
| Probability | Larne | Draw | Limavady United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.7% | 25.0% | 19.3% |
| Market | 75.7% | 15.7% | 8.5% |
| Final | 70.7% | 18.1% | 11.2% |
| Edge | -5.0% | +2.3% | +2.7% |
Why Larne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Larne and Limavady United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Larne and Limavady United attack and defence ratings
Larne
Limavady United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Larne vs Limavady United: result vs prediction
Larne 1 – 1 Limavady United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Larne vs Limavady United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 70.7% | 1.41 | -5.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 70.7% |
| Draw | 18.1% | |
| Limavady United | 11.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larne win | 32.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 44.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Larne vs Limavady United stats
Larne and Limavady United recent form
| Larne |
WLLWWW |
| Limavady United |
DLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Larne and Limavady United going into this match
Larne record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Limavady United record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Larne vs Limavady United head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-04 | Limavady United | Larne | Irish Cup | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-14 | Larne | Limavady United | League Cup | 4-0 |
| 2018-11-17 | Larne | Limavady United | Championship | 6-0 |
| 2018-10-06 | Limavady United | Larne | Championship | 1-3 |
| 2018-03-23 | Limavady United | Larne | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2018-02-17 | Larne | Limavady United | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2017-12-16 | Larne | Limavady United | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2017-09-02 | Limavady United | Larne | Championship | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Larne vs Limavady United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 74.9%, draw 16.0%, away 9.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.28 | 4.50 | 9.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.18 | 5.85 | 11.60 |
| 888Sport | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 5.75 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.15 | 4.60 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.22 | 5.70 | 10.50 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.22 | 6.60 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.17 | 5.85 | 11.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22 | 6.44 | 11.53 |
| Superbet | 1.34 | 4.90 | 6.60 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.80 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .