Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 3

Dungannon Swifts vs Bangor

2 – 0 Full time

Stangmore Park, DungannonReferee: T. Clarke

Dungannon Swifts 53%
Draw 25%
Bangor 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Dungannon Swifts vs Bangor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dungannon Swifts vs Bangor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDungannon SwiftsDrawBangor
Model46.9%26.6%26.5%
Market54.5%24.4%21.1%
Final52.6%25.0%22.4%
Edge-7.6%+2.2%+5.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Dungannon Swifts

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.19.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dungannon Swif ↓ / Bangor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Dungannon Swifts and Bangor expected goals

Dungannon Swifts 1.65
Bangor 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.84

Dungannon Swifts and Bangor attack and defence ratings

Dungannon Swifts

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.46 +46%

Bangor

Attack 0.61 -39%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dungannon Swifts vs Bangor: result vs prediction

Dungannon Swifts 2 – 0 Bangor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Dungannon Swifts vs Bangor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dungannon Swifts 52.6% 1.90 -7.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.1% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.5% 1.74 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.6% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.1% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dungannon Swifts52.6%
Draw25.0%
Bangor22.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.1%
Under 2.545.9%
Both teams to scoreYes57.5%
No42.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.6%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)47.4%
Handicap -1Dungannon Swifts win25.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss53.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
2-19.5%
1-08.5%

Dungannon Swifts vs Bangor stats

Dungannon Swifts and Bangor recent form

newest first
Dungannon Swifts WLLWWL
Bangor LLLDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dungannon Swifts and Bangor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bangor record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.

Dungannon Swifts vs Bangor head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Dungannon Swifts wins 0Draws 2Bangor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21Dungannon SwiftsBangorNorthern Ireland Premiership0-1
2025-12-26Dungannon SwiftsBangorNorthern Ireland Premiership1-0
2025-08-30BangorDungannon SwiftsNorthern Ireland Premiership2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dungannon Swifts vs Bangor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.5%, draw 24.4%, away 21.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.70 3.75 4.10
1xBet 1.62 3.80 4.57
888Sport 1.67 3.75 4.50
Bet365 1.75 3.60 3.70
BetVictor 1.57 3.25 3.90
Betano 1.72 3.75 4.15
Betfair 1.65 3.80 4.40
Dafabet 1.73 3.80 4.30
Marathonbet 1.60 3.80 4.50
Pinnacle 1.69 4.06 4.62
Superbet 1.72 3.70 4.15
William Hill 1.67 3.75 4.50

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.