Bangor
vs
Carrick Rangers
0 – 4 Full time
Bangor vs Carrick Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bangor vs Carrick Rangers
| Probability | Bangor | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.0% | 22.6% | 63.4% |
| Market | 17.7% | 22.3% | 60.0% |
| Final | 16.8% | 22.3% | 60.9% |
| Edge | -3.7% | +0.3% | +3.4% |
Why Carrick Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Carrick Rangers below the model: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bangor and Carrick Rangers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.86
Bangor and Carrick Rangers attack and defence ratings
Bangor
Carrick Rangers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bangor vs Carrick Rangers: result vs prediction
Bangor 0 – 4 Carrick Rangers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bangor vs Carrick Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrick Rangers | 60.9% | 1.64 | +3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Carrick Rangers win | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bangor | 16.8% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Carrick Rangers | 60.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Carrick Rangers win | 40.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 36.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.6% |
| 1-1 | 10.8% | |
| 0-1 | 10.6% |
Bangor vs Carrick Rangers stats
Bangor and Carrick Rangers recent form
| Bangor |
LLLLDD |
| Carrick Rangers |
LWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bangor and Carrick Rangers going into this match
Bangor record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Carrick Rangers record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Bangor vs Carrick Rangers head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Bangor | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-3 |
| 2026-02-28 | Carrick Rangers | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-03 | Carrick Rangers | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-2 |
| 2025-10-31 | Bangor | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2024-07-23 | Carrick Rangers | Bangor | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2021-05-08 | Carrick Rangers | Bangor | Irish Cup | 2-2 |
| 2019-08-27 | Bangor | Carrick Rangers | League Cup | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bangor vs Carrick Rangers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.7%, draw 22.3%, away 60.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.32 | 4.10 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.48 |
| Betano | 5.20 | 4.00 | 1.55 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 4.20 | 1.53 |
| Marathonbet | 5.15 | 4.10 | 1.49 |
| Pinnacle | 5.11 | 4.39 | 1.54 |
| Superbet | 5.10 | 4.15 | 1.52 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.55 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .