Bangor
vs
Ballymena United
2 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | S. McCullough | ||
| 14′ | J. Archer | ||
| 31′ | M. Clarke | ||
| 46′ | S. McCulloughT. Mulvenna | ||
| 55′ | L. Francis | ||
| 68′ | L. McRoberts | ||
| 69′ | J. BoydB. Cushnie | ||
| 69′ | L. HarrisonO. Devlin | ||
| 70′ | J. HoodS. Edogun | ||
| 70′ | M. ClarkeK. Lyons-Foster | ||
| 77′ | I. RutkowskiF. Thorndike | ||
| 81′ | M. StrachanJ. O'Mahony | ||
| 81′ | I. HughesJ. Rodriguez | ||
| 86′ | C. McKeeC. McConnell | ||
| 88′ | L. Hassin | ||
| 90′ | L. McRoberts | ||
| 90′ | T. Mulvenna |
Bangor vs Ballymena United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bangor vs Ballymena United
| Probability | Bangor | Draw | Ballymena United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.5% | 24.4% | 60.1% |
| Market | 22.7% | 25.0% | 52.3% |
| Final | 20.9% | 24.8% | 54.2% |
| Edge | -7.2% | -0.6% | +7.8% |
Why Ballymena United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ballymena United below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bangor and Ballymena United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Bangor and Ballymena United attack and defence ratings
Bangor
Ballymena United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bangor vs Ballymena United: result vs prediction
Bangor 2 – 2 Ballymena United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bangor vs Ballymena United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballymena United | 54.2% | 1.84 | +7.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bangor | 20.9% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Ballymena United | 54.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.8% |
| No | 51.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ballymena United win | 35.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 39.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.6% |
| 1-1 | 11.6% | |
| 0-1 | 11.6% |
Bangor vs Ballymena United stats
Bangor and Ballymena United recent form
| Bangor |
LLLLLD |
| Ballymena United |
LLWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bangor and Ballymena United going into this match
Bangor record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Bangor vs Ballymena United head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | Ballymena United | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-30 | Bangor | Ballymena United | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Bangor | Ballymena United | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-23 | Ballymena United | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 4-0 |
| 2024-07-20 | Ballymena United | Bangor | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bangor vs Ballymena United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.8%, draw 24.8%, away 52.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.01 | 3.62 | 1.74 |
| Bet365 | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 3.95 | 3.70 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.70 |
| Dafabet | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.78 |
| Marathonbet | 3.95 | 3.62 | 1.72 |
| Pinnacle | 4.18 | 3.93 | 1.79 |
| Superbet | 4.00 | 3.65 | 1.77 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .