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Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 5

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown

3 – 1 Full time

8′L. MacKinnon
18′B. Healy
21′D. Martins
35′B. Quinn
46′L. JessopB. Wells
46′D. MartinsM. Hewitt
56′B. Healy
58′B. QuinnR. Campbell
63′B. KennedyA. Obhakhan
63′A. ToweF. Flanagan
65′E. Fyfe
76′D. O’ConnorS. Leppard
76′R. HaleJ. Thompson
78′E. FyfeC. Falls
86′F. Flanagan
86′L. McStravickL. Conlan
86′B. HealyJ. Gormley

Solitude, BelfastReferee: T. Marshall

Cliftonville FC 56%
Draw 24%
Portadown 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cliftonville FC vs Portadown

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCliftonville FCDrawPortadown
Model49.0%27.6%23.4%
Market57.8%23.3%18.9%
Final55.6%24.4%20.0%
Edge-8.8%+4.3%+4.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Cliftonville FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 1.02.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cliftonville F ↓ / Portadown → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Cliftonville FC and Portadown expected goals

Cliftonville FC 1.58
Portadown 1.02

Total expected goals: 2.60

Cliftonville FC and Portadown attack and defence ratings

Cliftonville FC

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Portadown

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown: result vs prediction

Cliftonville FC 3 – 1 Portadown

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cliftonville FC 55.6% 1.80 -8.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.9% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.0% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.0% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.0% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cliftonville FC55.6%
Draw24.4%
Portadown20.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.1%
Under 2.551.9%
Both teams to scoreYes52.0%
No48.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.0%
12 (either side)75.6%
X2 (draw or away)44.4%
Handicap -1Cliftonville FC win26.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss51.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
1-010.5%
2-19.4%

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown stats

Cliftonville FC and Portadown recent form

newest first
Cliftonville FC LLWWLW
Portadown LLLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cliftonville FC and Portadown going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cliftonville FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Portadown record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Cliftonville FC wins 1Draws 4Portadown wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-04PortadownCliftonville FCNorthern Ireland Premiership0-2
2025-11-29PortadownCliftonville FCNorthern Ireland Premiership2-3
2025-09-27Cliftonville FCPortadownNorthern Ireland Premiership1-2
2025-04-19PortadownCliftonville FCPremiership2-0
2025-02-09Cliftonville FCPortadownPremiership2-2
2024-12-14PortadownCliftonville FCPremiership2-0
2024-08-11Cliftonville FCPortadownPremiership1-0
2024-03-01PortadownCliftonville FCIrish Cup0-2
2023-07-08Cliftonville FCPortadownFriendlies Clubs1-2
2023-02-14Cliftonville FCPortadownPremiership3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.5%, draw 23.4%, away 19.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.57 3.90 4.86
Bet365 1.57 3.90 4.33
BetVictor 1.50 3.40 4.20
Betano 1.62 4.00 4.55
Betfair 1.57 4.00 5.00
Dafabet 1.62 4.00 4.90
Marathonbet 1.55 3.90 4.80
Pinnacle 1.63 4.14 4.95
Superbet 1.61 3.90 4.70
William Hill 1.62 3.80 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.57 ▼ -0.01
X 3.90 ▲ +0.05
2 4.80 ▲ +0.09

12 snapshots recorded, from .