Linfield
vs
Carrick Rangers
1 – 0 Full time
| 26′ | B. BurnsK. Nelson | ||
| 43′ | M. SnoddyK. Cherry | ||
| 49′ | J. Callacher | ||
| 55′ | B. Hall | ||
| 64′ | I. BairdK. Nelson | ||
| 64′ | K. MooreD. Wells | ||
| 85′ | D. McCullough | ||
| 85′ | J. CroweS. Clucas | ||
| 85′ | J. ForsytheN. Maciulaitis | ||
| 88′ | C. Shields | ||
| 90′ | P. Heatley |
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Linfield vs Carrick Rangers
| Probability | Linfield | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.5% | 26.8% | 45.7% |
| Market | 55.0% | 24.5% | 20.5% |
| Final | 48.1% | 25.1% | 26.8% |
| Edge | -27.5% | +2.2% | +25.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Linfield and Carrick Rangers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Linfield and Carrick Rangers attack and defence ratings
Linfield
Carrick Rangers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers: result vs prediction
Linfield 1 – 0 Carrick Rangers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Linfield | 48.1% | 2.08 | -27.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Linfield | 48.1% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Carrick Rangers | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Linfield win | 11.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.7% | |
| Loss | 72.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 8.3% |
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers stats
Linfield and Carrick Rangers recent form
| Linfield |
WWWLDL |
| Carrick Rangers |
WLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Linfield and Carrick Rangers going into this match
Carrick Rangers record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Carrick Rangers | Linfield | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Carrick Rangers | Linfield | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Linfield | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2025-01-11 | Linfield | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Carrick Rangers | Linfield | Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2024-09-21 | Linfield | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-02 | Carrick Rangers | Linfield | Premiership | 2-3 |
| 2023-10-13 | Carrick Rangers | Linfield | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2023-08-26 | Linfield | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 3-3 |
| 2023-02-18 | Linfield | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.0%, draw 24.5%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.47 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.25 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 3.85 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 4.02 | 4.74 |
| Superbet | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.45 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .