Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 5

Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts

0 – 2 Full time

30′L. Alves
46′G. BigirimanaT. Kelly
50′J. Scott
66′S. LowryR. Boorman
68′J. Ogedi-Uzokwe
72′K. Dillon
72′L. AlvesC. Smith
72′P. DoyleJ. Glackin
73′J. ButcherL. Boyd
75′D. Lafferty
75′L. Boyd
80′A. GastonO. Duffy
80′R. WilsonS. Carlin
80′J. Ogedi-UzokweA. Mitchell

Limavady Showgrounds, LimavadyReferee: I. McNabb

Limavady United 30%
Draw 27%
Dungannon Swifts 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLimavady UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
Model32.5%28.0%39.4%
Market29.7%27.0%43.3%
Final30.4%27.3%42.3%
Edge+2.9%+1.0%-3.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Dungannon Swifts

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Limavady Unite ↓ / Dungannon Swif → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Limavady United and Dungannon Swifts expected goals

Limavady United 1.29
Dungannon Swifts 1.44

Total expected goals: 2.72

Limavady United and Dungannon Swifts attack and defence ratings

Limavady United

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Dungannon Swifts

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts: result vs prediction

Limavady United 0 – 2 Dungannon Swifts

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dungannon Swifts 42.3% 2.36 -3.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.1% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.3% 1.77 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.7% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.6% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Limavady United30.4%
Draw27.3%
Dungannon Swifts42.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.1%
Under 2.548.9%
Both teams to scoreYes56.3%
No43.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.7%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)69.6%
Handicap -1Dungannon Swifts win19.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss60.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-28.7%
0-18.2%

Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts stats

Limavady United and Dungannon Swifts recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Limavady United wins 0Draws 1Dungannon Swifts wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-08-28Dungannon SwiftsLimavady UnitedLeague Cup2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.9%, draw 26.9%, away 43.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.08 3.35 2.10
Bet365 2.90 3.60 2.00
BetVictor 2.75 3.10 1.95
Betano 2.95 3.40 2.18
Betfair 2.90 3.50 2.10
Dafabet 3.10 3.45 2.20
Marathonbet 3.02 3.35 2.08
Pinnacle 3.24 3.56 2.17
Superbet 3.05 3.35 2.17
William Hill 3.20 3.30 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.05 ▲ +0.26
X 3.35 ▼ -0.03
2 2.09 ▼ -0.21

12 snapshots recorded, from .