Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 5

Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC

4 – 1 Full time

1′S. Devine
5′J. Henderson
8′M. Shevlin
52′S. Devine
57′M. ShevlinL. McGregor
57′S. DevineJ. Cooper
57′D. BoyleA. Brooks
58′A. ReidK. McKechnie
58′R. WeirL. Anderson
61′E. Dunlop
66′R. McKay
66′G. KellyS. Rough
67′L. KaneF. Tonks
73′B. DohertyJ. Thomson
78′R. McKayC. Beattie
78′E. DunlopM. Mulholland
83′M. Mulholland

The Showgrounds, ColeraineReferee: S. Gregg

Coleraine FC 74%
Draw 15%
Crusaders FC 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColeraine FCDrawCrusaders FC
Model59.4%20.4%20.2%
Market78.7%13.0%8.3%
Final73.8%14.9%11.3%
Edge-19.3%+7.4%+11.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Coleraine FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.38.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Coleraine FC ↓ / Crusaders FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 8% 5% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 6% 8% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Coleraine FC and Crusaders FC expected goals

Coleraine FC 2.40
Crusaders FC 1.38

Total expected goals: 3.78

Coleraine FC and Crusaders FC attack and defence ratings

Coleraine FC

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Crusaders FC

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC: result vs prediction

Coleraine FC 4 – 1 Crusaders FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Coleraine FC 73.8% 1.35 -19.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.7% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.7% 1.46 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.7% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.6% 2.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Coleraine FC73.8%
Draw14.9%
Crusaders FC11.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.7%
Under 2.527.3%
Both teams to scoreYes68.7%
No31.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.7%
12 (either side)85.1%
X2 (draw or away)26.2%
Handicap -1Coleraine FC win38.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss40.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.1%
1-18.3%
3-17.3%

Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC stats

Coleraine FC and Crusaders FC recent form

newest first
Coleraine FC WWDWLL
Crusaders FC WWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Coleraine FC and Crusaders FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Coleraine FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Crusaders FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Coleraine FC wins 0Draws 5Crusaders FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-17Coleraine FCCrusaders FCNorthern Ireland Premiership5-1
2026-01-09Coleraine FCCrusaders FCIrish Cup4-0
2025-11-29Crusaders FCColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership0-2
2025-09-06Crusaders FCColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership0-4
2025-05-07Coleraine FCCrusaders FCPremiership1-0
2025-04-19Crusaders FCColeraine FCPremiership3-0
2025-01-18Coleraine FCCrusaders FCPremiership0-2
2024-11-24Coleraine FCCrusaders FCPremiership1-2
2024-11-05Crusaders FCColeraine FCLeague Cup2-1
2024-10-05Crusaders FCColeraine FCPremiership2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 78.5%, draw 13.2%, away 8.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.14 7.00 11.00
Bet365 1.18 6.25 10.00
BetVictor 1.13 5.00 9.00
Betano 1.20 6.20 10.50
Betfair 1.14 7.00 13.00
Dafabet 1.18 7.20 12.00
Marathonbet 1.14 7.00 11.00
Pinnacle 1.18 7.98 11.54
Superbet 1.17 6.80 10.00
William Hill 1.18 7.00 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.16 ▲ +0.03
X 7.00 ▼ -0.50
2 11.00 ▼ -1.00

13 snapshots recorded, from .