Glentoran
vs
Crusaders FC
1 – 2 Full time
Glentoran vs Crusaders FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Glentoran vs Crusaders FC
| Probability | Glentoran | Draw | Crusaders FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.7% | 22.0% | 22.2% |
| Market | 75.1% | 15.3% | 9.6% |
| Final | 70.2% | 17.0% | 12.8% |
| Edge | -19.4% | +6.8% | +12.6% |
Why Glentoran
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 1.36.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Glentoran and Crusaders FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.54
Glentoran and Crusaders FC attack and defence ratings
Glentoran
Crusaders FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Glentoran vs Crusaders FC: result vs prediction
Glentoran 1 – 2 Crusaders FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Glentoran vs Crusaders FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Glentoran | 70.2% | 1.42 | -19.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Glentoran | 70.2% |
| Draw | 17.0% | |
| Crusaders FC | 12.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.6% |
| No | 33.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Glentoran win | 34.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 44.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 7.0% |
Glentoran vs Crusaders FC stats
Glentoran and Crusaders FC recent form
| Glentoran |
WLWLLL |
| Crusaders FC |
WWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Glentoran and Crusaders FC going into this match
Glentoran record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Crusaders FC record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Glentoran vs Crusaders FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Glentoran | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 5-1 |
| 2025-11-04 | Glentoran | Crusaders FC | League Cup | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Crusaders FC | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-23 | Crusaders FC | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Crusaders FC | Glentoran | Premiership | 0-4 |
| 2025-03-22 | Glentoran | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-14 | Glentoran | Crusaders FC | League Cup | 4-2 |
| 2024-12-13 | Crusaders FC | Glentoran | Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2024-08-09 | Glentoran | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Glentoran | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Glentoran vs Crusaders FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.1%, draw 15.3%, away 9.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.20 | 6.10 | 10.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 5.75 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.23 | 6.20 | 9.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 6.10 | 9.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23 | 6.58 | 8.40 |
| Superbet | 1.23 | 6.00 | 8.40 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 6.00 | 9.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .