Cliftonville FC
vs
Dungannon Swifts
0 – 2 Full time
Cliftonville FC vs Dungannon Swifts overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cliftonville FC vs Dungannon Swifts
| Probability | Cliftonville FC | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.5% | 24.5% | 21.0% |
| Market | 48.9% | 25.5% | 25.5% |
| Final | 50.3% | 25.3% | 24.4% |
| Edge | +5.6% | -1.1% | -4.5% |
Why Cliftonville FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.11.
- The market prices Cliftonville FC below the model: +5.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cliftonville FC and Dungannon Swifts expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Cliftonville FC and Dungannon Swifts attack and defence ratings
Cliftonville FC
Dungannon Swifts
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cliftonville FC vs Dungannon Swifts: result vs prediction
Cliftonville FC 0 – 2 Dungannon Swifts
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cliftonville FC vs Dungannon Swifts markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cliftonville FC | 50.3% | 1.99 | +5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cliftonville FC | 50.3% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Dungannon Swifts | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cliftonville FC win | 31.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 45.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.9% |
Cliftonville FC vs Dungannon Swifts stats
Cliftonville FC and Dungannon Swifts recent form
| Cliftonville FC |
LWWLWW |
| Dungannon Swifts |
WWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cliftonville FC and Dungannon Swifts going into this match
Cliftonville FC record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Cliftonville FC vs Dungannon Swifts head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Irish Cup | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Dungannon Swifts | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Dungannon Swifts | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Irish Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-12 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Dungannon Swifts | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 1-4 |
| 2024-08-20 | Cliftonville FC | Dungannon Swifts | Premiership | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cliftonville FC vs Dungannon Swifts odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 25.5%, away 25.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.52 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.89 | 3.65 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.52 | 3.54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.73 | 3.64 |
| Superbet | 1.90 | 3.55 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .