Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 4

Portadown vs Coleraine FC

0 – 3 Full time

Shamrock Park, PortadownReferee: N. Devlin

Portadown 15%
Draw 20%
Coleraine FC 65%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Portadown vs Coleraine FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Portadown vs Coleraine FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPortadownDrawColeraine FC
Model22.1%23.8%54.1%
Market12.2%19.3%68.5%
Final14.7%20.4%64.9%
Edge+9.8%+4.5%-14.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Coleraine FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.20.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Portadown ↓ / Coleraine FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Portadown and Coleraine FC expected goals

Portadown 1.20
Coleraine FC 1.97

Total expected goals: 3.17

Portadown and Coleraine FC attack and defence ratings

Portadown

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Coleraine FC

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Portadown vs Coleraine FC: result vs prediction

Portadown 0 – 3 Coleraine FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Portadown vs Coleraine FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Coleraine FC 64.9% 1.54 -14.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.5% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.2% 1.63 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 85.3% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.9% 2.18 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Portadown14.7%
Draw20.4%
Coleraine FC64.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.5%
Under 2.538.5%
Both teams to scoreYes61.2%
No38.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)35.1%
12 (either side)79.6%
X2 (draw or away)85.3%
Handicap -1Coleraine FC win32.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss45.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
1-29.8%
0-28.1%

Portadown vs Coleraine FC stats

Portadown and Coleraine FC recent form

newest first
Portadown LLLWWL
Coleraine FC WDWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Portadown and Coleraine FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Portadown record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Coleraine FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Portadown vs Coleraine FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Portadown wins 1Draws 9Coleraine FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-18Coleraine FCPortadownFriendlies Clubs3-0
2026-02-10Coleraine FCPortadownNorthern Ireland Premiership2-1
2025-10-25PortadownColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership0-2
2025-09-13PortadownColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership1-4
2025-03-22Coleraine FCPortadownPremiership1-0
2025-03-01Coleraine FCPortadownPremiership2-0
2024-09-17PortadownColeraine FCPremiership2-2
2023-07-22Coleraine FCPortadownFriendlies Clubs3-0
2023-01-14Coleraine FCPortadownPremiership4-1
2022-10-29Coleraine FCPortadownPremiership4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Portadown vs Coleraine FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 12.2%, draw 19.3%, away 68.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 7.60 4.60 1.33
1xBet 8.75 4.75 1.29
Bet365 6.50 4.33 1.36
BetVictor 6.50 3.90 1.25
Betano 7.00 4.60 1.37
Betfair 8.00 4.75 1.30
Dafabet 7.80 5.00 1.35
Marathonbet 8.40 4.75 1.28
Pinnacle 7.35 5.19 1.34
Superbet 7.10 4.80 1.34
Unibet 6.75 4.50 1.34
William Hill 8.00 4.75 1.33

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 7.47 ▼ -0.88
X 4.75 ▼ -0.20
2 1.33 ▲ +0.03

10 snapshots recorded, from .