Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 4

Limavady United vs Linfield

0 – 2 Full time

Limavady Showgrounds, LimavadyReferee: M. Dillon

Limavady United 21%
Draw 23%
Linfield 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Limavady United vs Linfield overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Limavady United vs Linfield

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLimavady UnitedDrawLinfield
Model36.7%29.2%34.1%
Market15.2%21.3%63.5%
Final20.6%23.2%56.2%
Edge+21.4%+7.9%-29.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Linfield

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Limavady Unite ↓ / Linfield → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Limavady United and Linfield expected goals

Limavady United 1.30
Linfield 1.26

Total expected goals: 2.55

Limavady United and Linfield attack and defence ratings

Limavady United

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Linfield

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Limavady United vs Linfield: result vs prediction

Limavady United 0 – 2 Linfield

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Limavady United vs Linfield markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Linfield 56.2% 1.78 -29.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.0% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.2% 1.88 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.4% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.6% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Limavady United20.6%
Draw23.2%
Linfield56.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.0%
Under 2.553.0%
Both teams to scoreYes53.2%
No46.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.8%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)79.4%
Handicap -1Linfield win15.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss65.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-09.0%
1-08.9%

Limavady United vs Linfield stats

Limavady United and Linfield recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Limavady United vs Linfield head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Limavady United wins 0Draws 1Linfield wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-24Limavady UnitedLinfieldFriendlies Clubs0-1
2026-02-06Limavady UnitedLinfieldIrish Cup1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Limavady United vs Linfield odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.2%, draw 21.3%, away 63.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.33 4.30 1.41
Bet365 5.25 4.20 1.44
Betano 5.60 4.25 1.47
Betfair 6.50 4.40 1.36
Dafabet 6.00 4.30 1.47
Marathonbet 6.10 4.30 1.40
Pinnacle 6.18 4.57 1.44
Superbet 5.65 4.25 1.46
William Hill 6.00 4.20 1.44

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.00 —
X 4.30 ▼ -0.01
2 1.44 —

7 snapshots recorded, from .