Coleraine FC
vs
Ballymena United
3 – 2 Full time
| 12′ | M. Shevlin | ||
| 32′ | J. Henderson | ||
| 54′ | J. Hood | ||
| 60′ | S. DevineJ. Thomson | ||
| 60′ | J. HendersonJ. Cooper | ||
| 68′ | S. EdogunI. Rutkowski | ||
| 70′ | Ballymena United | ||
| 76′ | B. WylieC. Stewart | ||
| 76′ | M. ShevlinA. Brooks | ||
| 77′ | J. ArcherS. Murray | ||
| 80′ | Coleraine FC | ||
| 80′ | C. McKee | ||
| 85′ | A. Wilson | ||
| 89′ | B. DohertyL. Ives | ||
| 89′ | J. HoodC. McConnell | ||
| 89′ | F. ThorndikeM. Leetch | ||
| 90′ | D. Toure |
Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United
| Probability | Coleraine FC | Draw | Ballymena United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.1% | 18.6% | 14.3% |
| Market | 65.7% | 20.0% | 14.4% |
| Final | 66.0% | 19.6% | 14.4% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -1.4% | -0.1% |
Why Coleraine FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.54 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Coleraine FC and Ballymena United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.67
Coleraine FC and Ballymena United attack and defence ratings
Coleraine FC
Ballymena United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United: result vs prediction
Coleraine FC 3 – 2 Ballymena United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coleraine FC | 66.0% | 1.51 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Coleraine FC win | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coleraine FC | 66.0% |
| Draw | 19.6% | |
| Ballymena United | 14.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% |
| No | 36.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Coleraine FC win | 46.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 32.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 2-0 | 8.2% | |
| 1-1 | 8.0% |
Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United stats
Coleraine FC and Ballymena United recent form
| Coleraine FC |
WWWDWL |
| Ballymena United |
DLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Coleraine FC and Ballymena United going into this match
Coleraine FC record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Coleraine FC | Ballymena United | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Ballymena United | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Ballymena United | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2024-12-26 | Coleraine FC | Ballymena United | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | Ballymena United | Coleraine FC | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-16 | Coleraine FC | Ballymena United | Premiership | 4-2 |
| 2023-12-26 | Ballymena United | Coleraine FC | Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2023-11-07 | Ballymena United | Coleraine FC | League Cup | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-21 | Ballymena United | Coleraine FC | Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2023-08-04 | Coleraine FC | Ballymena United | Premiership | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.7%, draw 20.1%, away 15.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 4.55 | 6.69 |
| 888Sport | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.50 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.44 | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 4.60 | 6.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.97 |
| Superbet | 1.43 | 4.45 | 5.80 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .