Portadown
vs
Larne
0 – 2 Full time
| 8′ | T. Cosgrove | ||
| 10′ | A. TraynorM. Carson | ||
| 18′ | L. MacKinnon | ||
| 27′ | K. O'Hara | ||
| 46′ | M. RandallJ. McEneff | ||
| 46′ | M. GibsonM. Lusty | ||
| 56′ | S. Graham | ||
| 59′ | B. KennedyA. Obhakhan | ||
| 73′ | C. GallagherD. Sloan | ||
| 79′ | L. MacKinnonD. Isamala | ||
| 79′ | S. O'MahoneyA. Towe | ||
| 79′ | F. FlanaganC. Falls | ||
| 83′ | M. LustyP. O'Neill |
Portadown vs Larne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portadown vs Larne
| Probability | Portadown | Draw | Larne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.4% | 28.3% | 47.3% |
| Market | 11.1% | 20.7% | 68.2% |
| Final | 14.4% | 22.6% | 63.0% |
| Edge | +13.3% | +7.6% | -20.9% |
Why Larne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portadown and Larne expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Portadown and Larne attack and defence ratings
Portadown
Larne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Portadown vs Larne: result vs prediction
Portadown 0 – 2 Larne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Portadown vs Larne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 63.0% | 1.59 | -20.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portadown | 14.4% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Larne | 63.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larne win | 24.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 52.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 0-1 | 10.8% | |
| 1-2 | 9.3% |
Portadown vs Larne stats
Portadown and Larne recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portadown and Larne going into this match
Portadown record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portadown vs Larne head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Portadown | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Larne | Portadown | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Larne | Portadown | Northern Ireland Premiership | 4-0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Portadown | Larne | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-01 | Larne | Portadown | Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-27 | Portadown | Larne | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2023-01-24 | Larne | Portadown | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2022-11-12 | Portadown | Larne | Premiership | 0-5 |
| 2022-09-17 | Portadown | Larne | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2022-01-29 | Larne | Portadown | Premiership | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Portadown vs Larne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.9%, draw 20.6%, away 68.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.75 | 4.40 | 1.32 |
| Bet365 | 8.00 | 4.20 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 3.60 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 7.90 | 4.25 | 1.37 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 4.40 | 1.30 |
| Dafabet | 9.80 | 5.00 | 1.29 |
| Marathonbet | 8.40 | 4.40 | 1.31 |
| Pinnacle | 8.27 | 4.73 | 1.38 |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 4.33 | 1.36 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .