Larne
vs
Bangor
1 – 0 Full time
| 5′ | J. RodriguezH. Lynch | ||
| 15′ | A. Mitchell | ||
| 24′ | L. Harrison | ||
| 53′ | P. O'Neill | ||
| 64′ | R. DohertyM. Randall | ||
| 64′ | P. O'NeillM. Gibson | ||
| 66′ | L. HarrisonI. Hughes | ||
| 66′ | B. CushnieL. Hassin | ||
| 76′ | D. Sloan | ||
| 76′ | M. LustyK. O'Hara | ||
| 80′ | S. GrahamJ. Simpson | ||
| 80′ | D. SloanJ. McEneff | ||
| 83′ | J. O'MahonyR. Neale | ||
| 83′ | O. DevlinM. Strachan |
Larne vs Bangor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Larne vs Bangor
| Probability | Larne | Draw | Bangor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.0% | 23.3% | 13.7% |
| Market | 80.3% | 13.2% | 6.5% |
| Final | 76.0% | 15.7% | 8.3% |
| Edge | -17.4% | +10.1% | +7.3% |
Why Larne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Larne and Bangor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Larne and Bangor attack and defence ratings
Larne
Bangor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Larne vs Bangor: result vs prediction
Larne 1 – 0 Bangor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Larne vs Bangor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 76.0% | 1.32 | -17.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Larne win | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 76.0% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| Bangor | 8.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larne win | 38.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 37.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.2% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 1-1 | 11.1% |
Larne vs Bangor stats
Larne and Bangor recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Larne and Bangor going into this match
Bangor record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Larne vs Bangor head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | Larne | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-04 | Larne | Bangor | League Cup | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Larne | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Bangor | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2023-07-07 | Bangor | Larne | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-06 | Bangor | Larne | Friendlies Clubs | 0-3 |
| 2022-01-08 | Bangor | Larne | Irish Cup | 0-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Larne vs Bangor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 80.3%, draw 13.2%, away 6.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.15 | 5.80 | 17.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.11 | 7.20 | 14.20 |
| 888Sport | 1.17 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.10 | 5.00 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.17 | 6.20 | 13.00 |
| Betfair | 1.11 | 6.50 | 15.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.15 | 7.40 | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.11 | 7.20 | 14.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15 | 7.93 | 15.06 |
| Superbet | 1.14 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Unibet | 1.15 | 6.75 | 11.00 |
| William Hill | 1.17 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .