Crusaders FC
vs
Limavady United
1 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | P. Lowry | ||
| 34′ | J. BlaneyS. Rough | ||
| 43′ | K. Forsythe | ||
| 50′ | J. McGonigle | ||
| 55′ | A. ReidK. McKechnie | ||
| 69′ | E. Dunlop | ||
| 73′ | A. MullanR. Boorman | ||
| 76′ | A. GastonL. Boyd | ||
| 76′ | L. AndersonT. Maguire | ||
| 85′ | K. McKechnie | ||
| 90′ | J. McGonigleO. Duffy | ||
| 90′ | R. WilsonS. O'Donnell | ||
| 90′ | H. Jewitt-White |
Crusaders FC vs Limavady United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Crusaders FC vs Limavady United
| Probability | Crusaders FC | Draw | Limavady United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.9% | 22.7% | 17.4% |
| Market | 40.1% | 26.9% | 33.0% |
| Final | 45.0% | 25.9% | 29.1% |
| Edge | +19.8% | -4.2% | -15.5% |
Why Crusaders FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Crusaders FC below the model: +19.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Crusaders FC and Limavady United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Crusaders FC and Limavady United attack and defence ratings
Crusaders FC
Limavady United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Crusaders FC vs Limavady United: result vs prediction
Crusaders FC 1 – 2 Limavady United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Crusaders FC vs Limavady United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crusaders FC | 45.0% | 2.22 | +19.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crusaders FC | 45.0% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Limavady United | 29.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% |
| No | 42.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Crusaders FC win | 37.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 40.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.6% |
Crusaders FC vs Limavady United stats
Crusaders FC and Limavady United recent form
| Crusaders FC |
LWWWLL |
| Limavady United |
LLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Crusaders FC and Limavady United going into this match
Crusaders FC record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Crusaders FC vs Limavady United head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-10 | Crusaders FC | Limavady United | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-01 | Crusaders FC | Limavady United | Irish Cup | 1-0 |
| 2019-10-08 | Limavady United | Crusaders FC | League Cup | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Crusaders FC vs Limavady United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.1%, draw 27.0%, away 32.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.36 | 2.78 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.35 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.45 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.36 | 2.73 |
| Pinnacle | 2.34 | 3.65 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .