Northern Ireland Premiership · 2026-09-15T18:45:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 7

Glentoran vs Coleraine FC

1 – 2 Full time

4′			R. Cooney
44′			C. McMenamin
61′			A. BrooksJ. Thomson
61′			B. WylieD. Boyle
61′			Glentoran
65′			J. Singleton
66′			G. SloggettJ. Kelly
72′			J. Thomson
73′			J. MaloneJ. Jenkins
73′			R. ClarkeJ. Daniels
76′			J. Henderson
80′			M. Kane
81′			J. SingletonC. Rogers-Duffy
81′			J. StewartB. Gallagher
83′			J. Jenkins
89′			L. KaneL. Ives
89′			J. HendersonL. McGregor
90′			L. McGregor

The BetMcLean Oval, BelfastReferee: S. McGonigle

Glentoran

31%

Draw

26%

Coleraine FC

43%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Glentoran vs Coleraine FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Glentoran vs Coleraine FC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Glentoran	Draw	Coleraine FC
Model	22.8%	22.7%	54.5%
Market	34.2%	26.4%	39.4%
Final	31.3%	25.5%	43.2%
Edge	-11.3%	-3.7%	+15.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Coleraine FC

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.32.
Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
The market prices Coleraine FC below the model: +15.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

96%

2+ goals

87%

3+ goals

67%

No goals

Glentoran and Coleraine FC expected goals

Glentoran

1.32

Coleraine FC

2.10

Total expected goals: 3.43

Glentoran and Coleraine FC attack and defence ratings

Glentoran

Attack

0.96 -4%

Defence

0.98 -2%

Coleraine FC

Attack

1.58 +58%

Defence

0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Glentoran vs Coleraine FC: result vs prediction

Glentoran 1 – 2 Coleraine FC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers — team news & stats · 2026-09-15
Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts · 2026-09-15
Portadown v Linfield — match page · 2026-09-15
Larne vs Cliftonville FC · 2026-09-15
Limavady United v Bangor — match page · 2026-09-15

Before and after this match

Glentoran, previous: Glentoran – Bangor, 2026-09-12
Glentoran, next: Cliftonville FC v Glentoran analysis
Coleraine FC, previous: Coleraine FC – Ballymena United, 2026-09-11
Coleraine FC, next: Coleraine FC v Limavady United analysis

Glentoran vs Coleraine FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Coleraine FC	43.2%	2.32	+15.0%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	66.5%	1.50	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	65.3%	1.53	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.5%	1.34	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	45.5%	2.20	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Glentoran	31.3%
	Draw	25.5%
	Coleraine FC	43.2%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	66.5%
	Under 2.5	33.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	65.3%
	No	34.7%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	56.8%
	12 (either side)	74.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	68.7%
Handicap -1	Coleraine FC win	33.4%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.0%
	Loss	45.5%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	10.0%
	1-2	9.5%
	0-2	7.2%

Glentoran vs Coleraine FC stats

Glentoran and Coleraine FC recent form

newest first

Glentoran	DLLWLW
Coleraine FC	WWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Glentoran and Coleraine FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Glentoran record

They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Coleraine FC record

They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Glentoran vs Coleraine FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Glentoran wins 2Draws 3Coleraine FC wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-25	Coleraine FC	Glentoran	Northern Ireland Premiership	6-2
2026-03-21	Glentoran	Coleraine FC	Northern Ireland Premiership	1-1
2026-02-03	Glentoran	Coleraine FC	League Cup	2-1
2025-12-19	Glentoran	Coleraine FC	Northern Ireland Premiership	2-1
2025-09-19	Coleraine FC	Glentoran	Northern Ireland Premiership	1-2
2025-04-01	Glentoran	Coleraine FC	Premiership	2-1
2025-02-14	Coleraine FC	Glentoran	Premiership	1-2
2024-10-26	Coleraine FC	Glentoran	Premiership	2-1
2024-08-20	Glentoran	Coleraine FC	Premiership	0-0
2024-05-01	Glentoran	Coleraine FC	Premiership	0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Glentoran vs Coleraine FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.2%, draw 26.4%, away 39.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.63	3.38	2.26
Bet365	2.62	3.40	2.25
BetVictor	2.50	3.10	2.10
Betano	2.70	3.45	2.35
Betfair	2.63	3.40	2.30
Marathonbet	2.63	3.38	2.26
Pinnacle	2.79	3.73	2.36
William Hill	2.70	3.40	2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.63 ▼ -0.10

X 3.40 —

2 2.28 ▼ -0.01

6 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-13T08:10:02Z.