Larne
vs
Coleraine FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Larne
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Larne vs Coleraine FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Larne vs Coleraine FC
| Probability | Larne | Draw | Coleraine FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.3% | 24.3% | 31.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.3% | 24.3% | 31.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Larne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.55.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Larne and Coleraine FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
Larne and Coleraine FC attack and defence ratings
Larne
Coleraine FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Larne vs Coleraine FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 44.3% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Coleraine FC | 31.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% |
| No | 32.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larne win | 24.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 55.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
Larne vs Coleraine FC stats
Larne and Coleraine FC recent form
| Larne |
WWWWWL |
| Coleraine FC |
WLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Larne and Coleraine FC season so far
Larne record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Coleraine FC record
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Larne vs Coleraine FC head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Coleraine FC | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Larne | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Larne | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Coleraine FC | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-10 | Coleraine FC | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.