Larne
vs
Coleraine FC
2 – 3 Full time
| 16′ | J. Simpson | ||
| 23′ | A. Wilson | ||
| 24′ | J. Simpson | ||
| 42′ | P. O'Neill | ||
| 50′ | J. Simpson | ||
| 56′ | D. BoyleL. Ives | ||
| 56′ | L. KaneR. McDonald | ||
| 59′ | J. Cooper | ||
| 60′ | B. Wylie | ||
| 60′ | Larne | ||
| 62′ | D. SloanK. O'Hara | ||
| 64′ | B. WylieA. Brooks | ||
| 69′ | M. Shevlin | ||
| 71′ | A. WilsonR. Slevin | ||
| 77′ | Larne | ||
| 81′ | J. Cooper | ||
| 87′ | R. DohertyM. Gibson | ||
| 87′ | P. O'NeillJ. Ukek |
Larne vs Coleraine FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Larne vs Coleraine FC
| Probability | Larne | Draw | Coleraine FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 26.3% | 29.3% |
| Market | 39.5% | 29.5% | 31.0% |
| Final | 40.7% | 28.7% | 30.6% |
| Edge | +1.2% | -0.8% | -0.4% |
Why Larne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 5 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Larne and Coleraine FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Larne and Coleraine FC attack and defence ratings
Larne
Coleraine FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Larne vs Coleraine FC: result vs prediction
Larne 2 – 3 Coleraine FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Larne vs Coleraine FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 40.7% | 2.46 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 40.7% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Coleraine FC | 30.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% |
| No | 39.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larne win | 23.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 7.4% |
Larne vs Coleraine FC stats
Larne and Coleraine FC recent form
| Larne |
WWWWWW |
| Coleraine FC |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Larne and Coleraine FC going into this match
Larne record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Coleraine FC record
- They have won 9 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Larne vs Coleraine FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Coleraine FC | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Larne | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-04 | Coleraine FC | Larne | Irish Cup | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Larne | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Coleraine FC | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-10 | Coleraine FC | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Coleraine FC | Larne | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-15 | Larne | Coleraine FC | Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Larne | Coleraine FC | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Coleraine FC | Larne | Premiership | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Larne vs Coleraine FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.8%, draw 28.7%, away 31.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 3.04 | 2.95 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 2.88 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.20 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.36 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.26 | 3.04 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46 | 3.16 | 3.07 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .