Crusaders FC
vs
Larne
0 – 3 Full time
| 36′ | R. Doherty | ||
| 52′ | J. McEneff | ||
| 73′ | R. WeirJ. Williamson | ||
| 73′ | D. RocksJ. Doherty | ||
| 73′ | H. Jewitt-WhiteL. Anderson | ||
| 75′ | C. Gallagher | ||
| 86′ | J. SimpsonM. Randall | ||
| 87′ | L. MillarG. Sandiford | ||
| 87′ | G. KellyK. Bond | ||
| 89′ | G. Sandiford |
Crusaders FC vs Larne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Crusaders FC vs Larne
| Probability | Crusaders FC | Draw | Larne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.2% | 24.6% | 49.3% |
| Market | 12.4% | 17.6% | 69.9% |
| Final | 15.9% | 19.4% | 64.7% |
| Edge | +3.4% | +1.7% | -5.2% |
Why Larne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Crusaders FC and Larne expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
Crusaders FC and Larne attack and defence ratings
Crusaders FC
Larne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Crusaders FC vs Larne: result vs prediction
Crusaders FC 0 – 3 Larne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Crusaders FC vs Larne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 64.7% | 1.54 | -5.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crusaders FC | 15.9% |
| Draw | 19.4% | |
| Larne | 64.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% |
| No | 36.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larne win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.2% |
Crusaders FC vs Larne stats
Crusaders FC and Larne recent form
| Crusaders FC |
LWLWLL |
| Larne |
WWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Crusaders FC and Larne going into this match
Crusaders FC record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Larne record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Crusaders FC vs Larne head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Crusaders FC | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-4 |
| 2025-12-20 | Crusaders FC | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-16 | Larne | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Crusaders FC | Larne | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-08 | Larne | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-07 | Crusaders FC | Larne | Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2024-10-19 | Larne | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Larne | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2024-01-12 | Crusaders FC | Larne | Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2023-12-15 | Crusaders FC | Larne | Premiership | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Crusaders FC vs Larne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.4%, draw 17.6%, away 69.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.65 | 5.15 | 1.28 |
| Bet365 | 6.25 | 5.25 | 1.36 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 3.90 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 7.00 | 4.80 | 1.35 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.29 |
| Dafabet | 7.20 | 5.20 | 1.35 |
| Marathonbet | 7.30 | 5.15 | 1.27 |
| Pinnacle | 8.03 | 5.70 | 1.32 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .