Carrick Rangers
vs
Crusaders FC
4 – 0 Full time
| 5′ | A. Lecky | ||
| 37′ | Carrick Rangers | ||
| 55′ | J. Forsythe | ||
| 64′ | D. Gibson | ||
| 64′ | Crusaders FC | ||
| 81′ | D. O'Conchubhair | ||
| 89′ | Carrick Rangers |
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC
| Probability | Carrick Rangers | Draw | Crusaders FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.7% | 24.0% | 45.3% |
| Market | 58.5% | 21.6% | 19.9% |
| Final | 51.5% | 22.2% | 26.2% |
| Edge | -27.8% | +2.4% | +25.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Carrick Rangers and Crusaders FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.45
Carrick Rangers and Crusaders FC attack and defence ratings
Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC: result vs prediction
Carrick Rangers 4 – 0 Crusaders FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrick Rangers | 51.5% | 1.94 | -27.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrick Rangers | 51.5% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Crusaders FC | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.9% |
| No | 32.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Carrick Rangers win | 14.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.8% | |
| Loss | 69.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.2% |
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC stats
Carrick Rangers and Crusaders FC recent form
| Carrick Rangers |
LLDLLW |
| Crusaders FC |
WLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Carrick Rangers and Crusaders FC going into this match
Carrick Rangers record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Crusaders FC record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Carrick Rangers | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 6-1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Carrick Rangers | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-09 | Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-4 |
| 2024-12-30 | Carrick Rangers | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-16 | Carrick Rangers | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-01 | Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2023-12-30 | Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2023-12-08 | Carrick Rangers | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.5%, draw 21.6%, away 19.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 4.62 | 4.76 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.15 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 4.30 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 4.70 | 4.54 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.33 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .