Glentoran
vs
Carrick Rangers
2 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | J. Jenkins | ||
| 26′ | J. Jenkins | ||
| 51′ | Glentoran | ||
| 54′ | J. StewartJ. Daniels | ||
| 54′ | Glentoran | ||
| 63′ | Glentoran | ||
| 72′ | G. SloggettJ. Kelly | ||
| 79′ | Carrick Rangers | ||
| 88′ | J. DouglasC. McMenamin | ||
| 88′ | J. JenkinsB. Gallagher | ||
| 88′ | D. LarmourC. Rogers-Duffy | ||
| 89′ | Glentoran |
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers
| Probability | Glentoran | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.2% | 24.9% | 32.9% |
| Market | 50.2% | 23.9% | 25.8% |
| Final | 48.2% | 24.2% | 27.6% |
| Edge | -8.1% | +1.0% | +7.1% |
Why Glentoran
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Glentoran and Carrick Rangers expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
Glentoran and Carrick Rangers attack and defence ratings
Glentoran
Carrick Rangers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers: result vs prediction
Glentoran 2 – 0 Carrick Rangers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Glentoran | 48.2% | 2.07 | -8.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Glentoran | 48.2% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Carrick Rangers | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% |
| No | 34.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Glentoran win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers stats
Glentoran and Carrick Rangers recent form
| Glentoran |
WLDLLW |
| Carrick Rangers |
LDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Glentoran and Carrick Rangers going into this match
Glentoran record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Carrick Rangers record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | Glentoran | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Carrick Rangers | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-7 |
| 2025-08-30 | Glentoran | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Carrick Rangers | Glentoran | Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Glentoran | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-23 | Carrick Rangers | Glentoran | Premiership | 2-3 |
| 2024-02-10 | Glentoran | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2023-11-04 | Glentoran | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 2-3 |
| 2023-09-30 | Carrick Rangers | Glentoran | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-18 | Carrick Rangers | Glentoran | Premiership | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.1%, draw 24.0%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.78 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.85 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.78 | 3.42 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86 | 4.16 | 3.64 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .