Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 9

Coleraine FC vs Linfield

1 – 3 Full time

9′A. Frizzell
25′C. Shields
29′B. Hall
39′W. Patching
45′K. McClean
45′B. Wylie
46′L. KaneC. Stewart
46′R. SlevinJ. Thomson
57′K. Moore
61′D. BoyleA. Brooks
68′K. MillarD. Wells
70′B. DohertyS. Devine
80′M. Shevlin
82′A. Frizzell
85′K. MooreC. Chapman

The Showgrounds, ColeraineReferee: E. Boyce

Coleraine FC 48%
Draw 26%
Linfield 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Coleraine FC vs Linfield overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Coleraine FC vs Linfield

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColeraine FCDrawLinfield
Model50.6%27.7%21.6%
Market47.5%25.0%27.5%
Final48.3%25.7%26.0%
Edge+3.2%+2.7%-5.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Coleraine FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.95.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 5 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Coleraine FC below the model: +3.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Coleraine FC ↓ / Linfield → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Coleraine FC and Linfield expected goals

Coleraine FC 1.57
Linfield 0.95

Total expected goals: 2.52

Coleraine FC and Linfield attack and defence ratings

Coleraine FC

Attack 1.48 +48%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Linfield

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Coleraine FC vs Linfield: result vs prediction

Coleraine FC 1 – 3 Linfield

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Coleraine FC vs Linfield markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Coleraine FC 48.3% 2.07 +3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.9% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score No 50.3% 1.99 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.4% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Coleraine FC48.3%
Draw25.7%
Linfield26.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.1%
Under 2.553.9%
Both teams to scoreYes49.7%
No50.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.0%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)51.7%
Handicap -1Coleraine FC win27.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss49.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
1-011.5%
2-09.9%

Coleraine FC vs Linfield stats

Coleraine FC and Linfield recent form

newest first
Coleraine FC WWWWWW
Linfield WDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Coleraine FC and Linfield going into this match

league record before kick-off

Coleraine FC record

  • They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Linfield record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Coleraine FC vs Linfield head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Coleraine FC wins 3Draws 2Linfield wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18LinfieldColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership0-3
2025-12-30Coleraine FCLinfieldNorthern Ireland Premiership3-1
2025-11-08LinfieldColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership1-1
2025-10-28Coleraine FCLinfieldNorthern Ireland Premiership2-2
2025-04-26Coleraine FCLinfieldPremiership1-0
2025-02-22LinfieldColeraine FCPremiership0-2
2024-12-14LinfieldColeraine FCPremiership3-0
2024-09-28Coleraine FCLinfieldPremiership0-3
2024-04-16LinfieldColeraine FCPremiership2-2
2024-02-16Coleraine FCLinfieldPremiership3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Coleraine FC vs Linfield odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.4%, draw 25.1%, away 27.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.88 3.62 3.36
Bet365 1.91 3.40 3.30
BetVictor 1.83 3.13 3.00
Betano 1.95 3.65 3.30
Betfair 1.91 3.50 3.40
Marathonbet 1.86 3.62 3.28
Pinnacle 1.94 4.01 3.48
William Hill 2.05 3.60 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▲ +0.24
X 3.62 —
2 3.30 ▼ -1.12

10 snapshots recorded, from .