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Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 9

Crusaders FC vs Bangor

2 – 1 Full time

16′A. Reid
30′G. Kelly
52′A. Reid
58′L. Anderson
65′L. McRobertsB. Arthurs
68′B. Arthurs
71′H. Lynch
77′Bangor
79′O. DevlinL. Hassin
81′L. Harrison
84′O. Wardell
87′I. HughesS. McGuinness
87′T. MulvennaJ. Boyd
87′H. LynchJ. O'Mahony

Seaview, BelfastReferee: M. Dillon

Crusaders FC 46%
Draw 25%
Bangor 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Crusaders FC vs Bangor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Crusaders FC vs Bangor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCrusaders FCDrawBangor
Model61.5%21.6%16.9%
Market41.3%26.0%32.8%
Final46.3%24.9%28.8%
Edge+20.2%-4.4%-15.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Crusaders FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 1.08.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Crusaders FC below the model: +20.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Crusaders FC ↓ / Bangor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Crusaders FC and Bangor expected goals

Crusaders FC 2.18
Bangor 1.08

Total expected goals: 3.26

Crusaders FC and Bangor attack and defence ratings

Crusaders FC

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Bangor

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Crusaders FC vs Bangor: result vs prediction

Crusaders FC 2 – 1 Bangor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Crusaders FC vs Bangor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Crusaders FC 46.3% 2.16 +20.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.3% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.5% 1.68 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Crusaders FC win 39.4% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Crusaders FC46.3%
Draw24.9%
Bangor28.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.3%
Under 2.536.7%
Both teams to scoreYes59.5%
No40.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.2%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)53.7%
Handicap -1Crusaders FC win39.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss38.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.9%
2-19.9%
2-09.1%

Crusaders FC vs Bangor stats

Crusaders FC and Bangor recent form

newest first
Crusaders FC LWLLWW
Bangor WLDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Crusaders FC and Bangor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Crusaders FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bangor record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Crusaders FC vs Bangor head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Crusaders FC wins 2Draws 1Bangor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-07Crusaders FCBangorNorthern Ireland Premiership1-1
2026-02-14Crusaders FCBangorNorthern Ireland Premiership2-2
2025-10-18BangorCrusaders FCNorthern Ireland Premiership2-1
2025-08-19BangorCrusaders FCNorthern Ireland Premiership1-3
2023-02-03BangorCrusaders FCIrish Cup1-2
2021-08-07Crusaders FCBangorFriendlies Clubs4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Crusaders FC vs Bangor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 25.9%, away 33.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.19 3.48 2.76
Bet365 2.15 3.40 2.80
BetVictor 2.05 3.10 2.55
Betano 2.22 3.55 2.77
Betfair 2.20 3.50 2.70
Marathonbet 2.17 3.48 2.70
Pinnacle 2.28 3.80 2.86
William Hill 2.30 3.50 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.19 ▲ +0.46
X 3.48 ▼ -0.16
2 2.76 ▼ -1.27

13 snapshots recorded, from .