Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 8

Bangor vs Portadown

3 – 1 Full time

16′E. Fyfe
17′L. Harrison
37′L. MacKinnon
46′E. FyfeJ. Scott
47′F. Flanagan
55′L. McRoberts
57′I. Hughes
60′S. McGuinnessJ. O'Mahony
60′L. McRobertsB. Arthurs
60′L. HarrisonM. Strachan
73′T. MulvennaZ. Dickson
76′S. O'Mahoney
81′B. Kennedy
83′S. O'MahoneyL. Jessop
83′B. KennedyC. Falls
84′D. Isamala

Clandeboye Park, BangorReferee: T. Clarke

Bangor 33%
Draw 28%
Portadown 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Bangor vs Portadown overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bangor vs Portadown

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBangorDrawPortadown
Model31.3%30.3%38.3%
Market33.5%27.5%38.9%
Final33.0%28.2%38.8%
Edge-2.2%+2.8%-0.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bangor ↓ / Portadown → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 7% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Bangor and Portadown expected goals

Bangor 1.12
Portadown 1.26

Total expected goals: 2.38

Bangor and Portadown attack and defence ratings

Bangor

Attack 0.59 -41%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Portadown

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bangor vs Portadown: result vs prediction

Bangor 3 – 1 Portadown

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Bangor vs Portadown markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Portadown 38.8% 2.58 -0.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.6% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score No 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.7% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bangor33.0%
Draw28.2%
Portadown38.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.4%
Under 2.557.6%
Both teams to scoreYes49.5%
No50.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.2%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)67.0%
Handicap -1Portadown win17.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss61.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-010.6%
0-110.4%

Bangor vs Portadown stats

Bangor and Portadown recent form

newest first
Bangor LDLDLL
Portadown DLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bangor and Portadown going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bangor record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Portadown record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bangor vs Portadown head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Bangor wins 2Draws 4Portadown wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25BangorPortadownNorthern Ireland Premiership2-4
2026-01-17BangorPortadownNorthern Ireland Premiership1-0
2025-11-15PortadownBangorNorthern Ireland Premiership1-1
2025-09-19PortadownBangorNorthern Ireland Premiership1-4
2024-04-02BangorPortadownChampionship0-3
2024-03-22PortadownBangorChampionship2-1
2024-02-03PortadownBangorIrish Cup2-1
2023-11-18BangorPortadownChampionship2-2
2023-08-25PortadownBangorChampionship0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bangor vs Portadown odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.5%, draw 27.5%, away 38.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.62 3.28 2.32
Bet365 2.70 3.30 2.25
BetVictor 2.45 2.90 2.20
Betano 2.75 3.30 2.37
Betfair 2.70 3.30 2.30
Marathonbet 2.61 3.26 2.33
Pinnacle 2.77 3.50 2.48
William Hill 2.70 3.25 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 ▼ -0.02
X 3.29 —
2 2.33 —

7 snapshots recorded, from .