Carrick Rangers
vs
Larne
2 – 5 Full time
| 15′ | P. O'Neill | ||
| 20′ | P. O'Neill | ||
| 38′ | D. Bent | ||
| 45′ | D. Gibson | ||
| 45′ | D. Gibson | ||
| 47′ | Larne | ||
| 53′ | J. Crowe | ||
| 62′ | M. LustyJ. McEneff | ||
| 69′ | P. O'Neill | ||
| 75′ | Carrick Rangers | ||
| 81′ | J. Crowe | ||
| 81′ | D. Bent |
Carrick Rangers vs Larne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Carrick Rangers vs Larne
| Probability | Carrick Rangers | Draw | Larne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.1% | 30.0% | 34.9% |
| Market | 21.6% | 23.7% | 54.7% |
| Final | 25.0% | 25.2% | 49.8% |
| Edge | +13.5% | +6.3% | -19.8% |
Why Larne
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Carrick Rangers and Larne expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
Carrick Rangers and Larne attack and defence ratings
Carrick Rangers
Larne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Carrick Rangers vs Larne: result vs prediction
Carrick Rangers 2 – 5 Larne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Carrick Rangers vs Larne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 49.8% | 2.01 | -19.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrick Rangers | 25.0% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Larne | 49.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larne win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 65.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.0% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
Carrick Rangers vs Larne stats
Carrick Rangers and Larne recent form
| Carrick Rangers |
DLLWLW |
| Larne |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Carrick Rangers and Larne going into this match
Carrick Rangers record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Larne record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Carrick Rangers vs Larne head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Larne | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-3 |
| 2025-12-26 | Carrick Rangers | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Larne | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-04 | Carrick Rangers | Larne | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-04 | Carrick Rangers | Larne | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2024-12-26 | Larne | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2023-12-26 | Carrick Rangers | Larne | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2023-10-20 | Larne | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2023-09-22 | Larne | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 4-1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Carrick Rangers | Larne | Premiership | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Carrick Rangers vs Larne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.6%, draw 23.7%, away 54.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.14 | 3.88 | 1.65 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.67 |
| BetVictor | 3.90 | 3.25 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 4.40 | 3.75 | 1.65 |
| Marathonbet | 4.05 | 3.88 | 1.63 |
| Pinnacle | 4.31 | 4.29 | 1.70 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .