Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 10

Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts

2 – 0 Full time

27′J. Singleton
40′J. Singleton
45′D. Larmour
46′J. SingletonJ. O'Rourke
54′A. Glenny
54′R. Clarke
58′R. ClarkeC. McMenamin
62′S. McAllisterC. Smith
62′J. Ogedi-UzokweA. Mitchell
64′J. GlackinT. Kelly
65′J. StewartJ. Daniels
72′B. McKeown
76′B. McKeownC. McGinty
76′J. DouglasJ. Kelly
90′J. Malone

The BetMcLean Oval, BelfastReferee: T. Marshall

Glentoran 54%
Draw 24%
Dungannon Swifts 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGlentoranDrawDungannon Swifts
Model52.7%26.4%21.0%
Market54.1%23.7%22.2%
Final53.7%24.4%21.9%
Edge-1.4%+2.7%-1.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Glentoran

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.99.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Glentoran ↓ / Dungannon Swif → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 13% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Glentoran and Dungannon Swifts expected goals

Glentoran 1.69
Dungannon Swifts 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.69

Glentoran and Dungannon Swifts attack and defence ratings

Glentoran

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Dungannon Swifts

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts: result vs prediction

Glentoran 2 – 0 Dungannon Swifts

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Glentoran 53.7% 1.86 -1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.4% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.1% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.3% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Glentoran53.7%
Draw24.4%
Dungannon Swifts21.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.4%
Under 2.549.6%
Both teams to scoreYes52.6%
No47.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.1%
12 (either side)75.6%
X2 (draw or away)46.3%
Handicap -1Glentoran win29.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss47.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
1-010.4%
2-09.8%

Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts stats

Glentoran and Dungannon Swifts recent form

newest first
Glentoran WWLDLL
Dungannon Swifts DLLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Glentoran and Dungannon Swifts going into this match

league record before kick-off

Glentoran record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.

Dungannon Swifts record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Glentoran wins 0Draws 4Dungannon Swifts wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11GlentoranDungannon SwiftsNorthern Ireland Premiership5-0
2026-01-31Dungannon SwiftsGlentoranNorthern Ireland Premiership0-2
2025-11-21GlentoranDungannon SwiftsNorthern Ireland Premiership0-1
2025-10-11Dungannon SwiftsGlentoranNorthern Ireland Premiership3-1
2025-04-19Dungannon SwiftsGlentoranPremiership3-2
2025-02-08GlentoranDungannon SwiftsPremiership1-0
2024-10-12GlentoranDungannon SwiftsPremiership2-0
2024-09-07Dungannon SwiftsGlentoranPremiership1-0
2024-03-16Dungannon SwiftsGlentoranPremiership0-3
2023-12-23Dungannon SwiftsGlentoranPremiership1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.1%, draw 23.7%, away 22.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.76 4.20 4.14
Bet365 1.67 4.00 4.20
BetVictor 1.57 3.40 3.75
Betano 1.67 3.80 4.35
Betfair 1.67 3.80 4.00
Marathonbet 1.67 3.82 3.90
Pinnacle 1.69 4.22 4.39
William Hill 1.73 3.80 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.67 ▼ -0.03
X 3.81 ▼ -0.07
2 4.07 ▲ +0.11

13 snapshots recorded, from .