Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 10

Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United

0 – 1 Full time

7′K. Lyons-Foster
27′P. Stanfield
31′D. McMaster
32′M. GlynnM. Leetch
35′Cliftonville FC
57′Cliftonville FC
58′I. Rutkowski
59′Cliftonville FC
60′D. Toure
65′J. Hood
71′D. McCallionS. Whiteside
71′J. HoodS. Murray
71′Cliftonville FC
77′F. ThorndikeC. McKee

Solitude, BelfastReferee: S. Gregg

Cliftonville FC 40%
Draw 26%
Ballymena United 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCliftonville FCDrawBallymena United
Model34.2%28.1%37.8%
Market41.4%25.5%33.1%
Final39.6%26.2%34.3%
Edge-7.2%+2.5%+4.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Cliftonville FC

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cliftonville F ↓ / Ballymena Unit → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Cliftonville FC and Ballymena United expected goals

Cliftonville FC 1.33
Ballymena United 1.40

Total expected goals: 2.73

Cliftonville FC and Ballymena United attack and defence ratings

Cliftonville FC

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Ballymena United

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United: result vs prediction

Cliftonville FC 0 – 1 Ballymena United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cliftonville FC 39.6% 2.53 -7.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.3% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.6% 1.77 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.8% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cliftonville FC39.6%
Draw26.2%
Ballymena United34.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.3%
Under 2.548.7%
Both teams to scoreYes56.6%
No43.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.7%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)60.4%
Handicap -1Cliftonville FC win15.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss65.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-28.5%
2-18.0%

Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United stats

Cliftonville FC and Ballymena United recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cliftonville FC and Ballymena United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cliftonville FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Ballymena United record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Cliftonville FC wins 2Draws 3Ballymena United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21Cliftonville FCBallymena UnitedNorthern Ireland Premiership2-2
2026-01-13Ballymena UnitedCliftonville FCNorthern Ireland Premiership2-2
2025-09-13Cliftonville FCBallymena UnitedNorthern Ireland Premiership3-2
2025-04-05Cliftonville FCBallymena UnitedPremiership5-0
2025-03-15Ballymena UnitedCliftonville FCPremiership1-0
2024-11-16Cliftonville FCBallymena UnitedPremiership0-1
2024-09-21Ballymena UnitedCliftonville FCPremiership3-2
2024-01-20Cliftonville FCBallymena UnitedPremiership3-0
2023-12-23Cliftonville FCBallymena UnitedPremiership2-0
2023-09-23Ballymena UnitedCliftonville FCPremiership0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 25.5%, away 33.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.28 3.97 2.78
Bet365 2.15 3.60 2.88
BetVictor 2.05 3.13 2.55
Betano 2.05 3.55 3.10
Betfair 2.20 3.50 2.70
Marathonbet 2.21 3.50 2.63
Pinnacle 2.31 3.92 2.76
William Hill 2.25 3.60 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.21 ▲ +0.16
X 3.58 ▼ -0.04
2 2.75 ▼ -0.25

13 snapshots recorded, from .