Ballymena United
vs
Crusaders FC
2 – 1 Full time
| 1′ | D. Rocks | ||
| 12′ | J. Archer | ||
| 32′ | S. Whiteside | ||
| 46′ | J. DohertyO. Wardell | ||
| 55′ | K. Lyons-Foster | ||
| 61′ | A. ReidE. Dunlop | ||
| 63′ | D. Rocks | ||
| 66′ | C. Allen | ||
| 68′ | D. RocksL. Anderson | ||
| 74′ | R. Weir | ||
| 74′ | T. MaguireK. Bond | ||
| 81′ | I. Rutkowski | ||
| 81′ | J. HoodD. McCallion | ||
| 81′ | S. WhitesideS. Murray | ||
| 88′ | L. Anderson |
Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC
| Probability | Ballymena United | Draw | Crusaders FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.1% | 23.6% | 22.3% |
| Market | 56.8% | 22.3% | 20.9% |
| Final | 56.1% | 22.6% | 21.2% |
| Edge | -2.7% | +1.3% | +1.4% |
Why Ballymena United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.23.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ballymena United and Crusaders FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Ballymena United and Crusaders FC attack and defence ratings
Ballymena United
Crusaders FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC: result vs prediction
Ballymena United 2 – 1 Crusaders FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballymena United | 56.1% | 1.78 | -2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballymena United | 56.1% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Crusaders FC | 21.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% |
| No | 37.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ballymena United win | 32.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 45.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC stats
Ballymena United and Crusaders FC recent form
| Ballymena United |
LWWDDL |
| Crusaders FC |
LLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ballymena United and Crusaders FC going into this match
Ballymena United record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Crusaders FC record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Crusaders FC | Ballymena United | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Crusaders FC | Ballymena United | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-2 |
| 2026-02-17 | Ballymena United | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Ballymena United | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Crusaders FC | Ballymena United | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Crusaders FC | Ballymena United | Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Crusaders FC | Ballymena United | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-20 | Ballymena United | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-09 | Ballymena United | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 2-4 |
| 2023-10-13 | Crusaders FC | Ballymena United | Premiership | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.2%, draw 22.8%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 4.10 | 4.38 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 4.10 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 4.53 | 4.40 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .