Riga
vs
KI Klaksvik
2 – 1 Full time
Riga vs KI Klaksvik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Riga vs KI Klaksvik
| Probability | Riga | Draw | KI Klaksvik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.5% | 19.6% | 8.0% |
| Market | 66.9% | 19.7% | 13.4% |
| Final | 68.3% | 19.7% | 12.0% |
| Edge | +5.6% | -0.2% | -5.4% |
Why Riga
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Riga below the model: +5.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Riga and KI Klaksvik expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Riga and KI Klaksvik attack and defence ratings
Riga
KI Klaksvik
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Riga vs KI Klaksvik: result vs prediction
Riga 2 – 1 KI Klaksvik
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Playoff round fixtures
Before and after this match
Riga vs KI Klaksvik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Riga | 68.3% | 1.46 | +5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Riga win | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Riga | 68.3% |
| Draw | 19.7% | |
| KI Klaksvik | 12.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.4% |
| No | 60.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Riga win | 48.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 27.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.2% |
| 1-0 | 13.5% | |
| 3-0 | 10.7% |
Riga vs KI Klaksvik stats
Riga and KI Klaksvik recent form
| Riga |
DDDWWW |
| KI Klaksvik |
DLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Riga and KI Klaksvik going into this match
Riga record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Riga vs KI Klaksvik head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | KI Klaksvik | Riga | UEFA Europa Conference League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Riga vs KI Klaksvik odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.9%, draw 19.7%, away 13.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.41 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 5.02 | 7.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.80 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.75 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.42 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 4.70 | 7.13 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 4.17 | 5.99 |
| Superbet | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.50 |
| Unibet | 1.45 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .