Rīgas FS vs Riga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rīgas FS vs Riga
| Probability | Rīgas FS | Draw | Riga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.6% | 27.6% | 32.8% |
| Market | 40.6% | 26.9% | 32.4% |
| Final | 40.4% | 27.1% | 32.5% |
| Edge | -1.0% | +0.6% | +0.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rīgas FS and Riga expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Rīgas FS and Riga attack and defence ratings
Rīgas FS
Riga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rīgas FS vs Riga: result vs prediction
Rīgas FS 3 – 3 Riga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rīgas FS vs Riga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rīgas FS | 40.4% | 2.48 | -1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rīgas FS | 40.4% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Riga | 32.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% |
| No | 42.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rīgas FS win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 60.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Rīgas FS vs Riga stats
Rīgas FS and Riga recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rīgas FS and Riga going into this match
Rīgas FS record
- They have won 22 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
Riga record
- They have won 20 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rīgas FS vs Riga head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Riga | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Rīgas FS | Riga | Virsliga | 3-3 |
| 2025-11-07 | Riga | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 3-4 |
| 2025-09-25 | Rīgas FS | Riga | Virsliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-18 | Riga | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Rīgas FS | Riga | Virsliga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rīgas FS vs Riga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 26.9%, away 32.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.42 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.35 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.42 | 2.74 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 3.44 | 2.86 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 3.13 | 2.66 |
| Superbet | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.82 |
| Unibet | 2.18 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .