Flamengo
vs
Mirassol
2 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | J. Carrascal | ||
| 31′ | E. PulgarEvertton Araujo | ||
| 43′ | Lucas Paqueta | ||
| 46′ | FlamengoG. de Arrascaeta | ||
| 46′ | WalterAlex Muralha | ||
| 46′ | Carlos EduardoShaylon | ||
| 66′ | João Victor | ||
| 66′ | Igor FormigaElias | ||
| 73′ | J. CarrascalS. Niguez | ||
| 73′ | PedroBruno Henrique | ||
| 79′ | G. CazonattiChico Kim | ||
| 79′ | Andre LuisBruno Santos | ||
| 81′ | Denilson | ||
| 82′ | Samuel LinoEverton |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 558 | Accurate passes | 426 |
Flamengo vs Mirassol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Flamengo vs Mirassol
| Probability | Flamengo | Draw | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.9% | 17.2% | 7.0% |
| Market | 78.9% | 14.1% | 7.0% |
| Final | 78.1% | 14.9% | 7.0% |
| Edge | -3.0% | +3.1% | -0.1% |
Why Flamengo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 0.60.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Flamengo and Mirassol expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Flamengo and Mirassol attack and defence ratings
Flamengo
Mirassol
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Flamengo vs Mirassol: result vs prediction
Flamengo 2 – 0 Mirassol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Flamengo vs Mirassol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flamengo | 78.1% | 1.28 | -3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Flamengo win | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flamengo | 78.1% |
| Draw | 14.9% | |
| Mirassol | 7.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.3% |
| No | 58.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 21.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Flamengo win | 53.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 24.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 3-0 | 11.3% |
Flamengo vs Mirassol stats
Flamengo and Mirassol recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Flamengo and Mirassol going into this match
Flamengo record
- They have won 15 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mirassol record
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
Flamengo vs Mirassol head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Mirassol | Flamengo | Brazil Serie A | 1-5 |
| 2025-12-06 | Mirassol | Flamengo | Brazil Serie A | 3-3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Flamengo | Mirassol | Brazil Serie A | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Flamengo vs Mirassol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 78.9%, draw 14.1%, away 7.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.20 | 6.20 | 14.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.21 | 7.14 | 13.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.17 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.24 | 6.70 | 15.00 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 6.50 | 14.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.20 | 7.20 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.18 | 6.70 | 13.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19 | 7.05 | 15.40 |
| SBO | 1.19 | 6.09 | 10.60 |
| Superbet | 1.20 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Unibet | 1.18 | 6.75 | 13.00 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .