Canadian Premier League
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Cavalry FC
vs
Supra du Quebec
6 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | Ali Musse | ||
| 16′ | Nathaniel Edwards | ||
| 29′ | Adam Pearlman | ||
| 45′ | Zachary Brault GuillardEliakim Matthieu Awonongbadje | ||
| 62′ | Amer Didic | ||
| 63′ | Alessandro Simone BielloOmar El Kalkouli | ||
| 63′ | Abzi DiyaeddineThomas Lebeuf | ||
| 64′ | Goteh NtigneeCurtis Ofori | ||
| 66′ | Loic Adrien Kwemi | ||
| 67′ | Charles AugusteZ. Fernandez | ||
| 68′ | Ali Musse | ||
| 70′ | Noah Lauren Trudel dos Santos | ||
| 71′ | Robert Owen AntoniukJames McGlinchey | ||
| 71′ | Adam PearlmanOwen Graham-Roache | ||
| 73′ | Ibrahim Conde | ||
| 74′ | Noah Lauren Trudel dos SantosJ. Mcinerney | ||
| 74′ | Loic Adrien KwemiClement Bayiha | ||
| 77′ | Thomas Lebeuf | ||
| 80′ | B. KamdemMaël Henry | ||
| 80′ | Nathaniel EdwardsHassan Ayari | ||
| 84′ | Maël Henry | ||
| 90′ | Matisse Chretien | ||
| 90′ | Ali Musse |
Cavalry FC
64%
Draw
21%
Supra du Quebec
16%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 264 | Accurate passes | 362 |
Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec
| Probability | Cavalry FC | Draw | Supra du Quebec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.4% | 19.1% | 9.6% |
| Market | 61.1% | 21.3% | 17.6% |
| Final | 63.6% | 20.7% | 15.6% |
| Edge | +10.3% | -2.3% | -8.0% |
Why Cavalry FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cavalry FC below the model: +10.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
57%
No goals
6%
Cavalry FC and Supra du Quebec expected goals
Cavalry FC
2.26
Supra du Quebec
0.73
Total expected goals: 2.99
Cavalry FC and Supra du Quebec attack and defence ratings
Cavalry FC
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
0.58 -42%
Supra du Quebec
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec: result vs prediction
Cavalry FC 6 – 0 Supra du Quebec
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cavalry FC | 63.6% | 1.57 | +10.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cavalry FC win | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cavalry FC | 63.6% |
| Draw | 20.7% | |
| Supra du Quebec | 15.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cavalry FC win | 48.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 28.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 3-0 | 9.7% |
Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec stats
Cavalry FC and Supra du Quebec recent form
| Cavalry FC |
DWWWWW |
| Supra du Quebec |
WLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cavalry FC and Supra du Quebec going into this match
Cavalry FC record
- They have won 15 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Supra du Quebec record
- They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
2Cavalry FC wins
1Draws
0Supra du Quebec wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Supra du Quebec | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Cavalry FC | Supra du Quebec | Canadian Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Supra du Quebec | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.0%, draw 21.3%, away 17.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 4.30 | 5.38 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.10 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.35 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.30 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 4.38 | 4.97 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.50 ▼ -0.14
X
4.30 ▲ +0.41
2
5.20 ▲ +0.80
2 snapshots recorded, from .