Cavalry FC
vs
Vancouver FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cavalry FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.25.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Cavalry FC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC
| Probability | Cavalry FC | Draw | Vancouver FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.8% | 18.9% | 16.2% |
| Market | 58.4% | 22.3% | 19.3% |
| Final | 60.0% | 21.5% | 18.5% |
| Edge | +1.6% | -0.9% | -0.8% |
Why Cavalry FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (our 60.0% × 1.62 − 1).
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC match preview
Cavalry FC enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 65%, while Vancouver FC stands at 16%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Cavalry FC, with an expected goals tally of 2.55 for Cavalry FC compared to 1.25 for Vancouver FC. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with 66% likelihood for both teams to find the net and a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, Cavalry FC has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches, while Vancouver FC has struggled with five draws and one loss in the same period. The head-to-head record favors Cavalry FC, who have won three of the last seven encounters, with Vancouver FC securing just one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.80
Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC attack and defence ratings
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Group Stage fixtures
- HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC — team news & stats
- Supra du Quebec vs York United
- Vancouver FC v HFX Wanderers FC — match page
- Atlético Ottawa vs Forge — team news & stats
- Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC
- HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec — team news & stats
- Pacific FC vs Forge
- York United v Atlético Ottawa — match page
Before and after this match
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cavalry FC | 60.0% | 1.67 | +1.6% | 1.62 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cavalry FC win | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cavalry FC | 60.0% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| Vancouver FC | 18.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% |
| No | 33.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cavalry FC win | 44.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 35.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.1% |
| 1-1 | 7.8% | |
| 3-1 | 7.7% |
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC stats
Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC recent form
| Cavalry FC |
WDLLWD |
| Vancouver FC |
WDDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC season so far
Cavalry FC record
- They have won 17 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Vancouver FC record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Cavalry FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vancouver FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vancouver FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Vancouver FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Cavalry FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 5-4 |
| 2025-07-14 | Vancouver FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-09 | Cavalry FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-22 | Vancouver FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-18 | Cavalry FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Cavalry FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.4%, draw 22.3%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.05 | 4.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.05 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 4.05 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 4.08 | 4.67 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .