Cavalry FC
vs
Pacific FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cavalry FC
3 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC
| Probability | Cavalry FC | Draw | Pacific FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80.3% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| Market | 77.8% | 14.5% | 7.7% |
| Final | 78.4% | 14.1% | 7.5% |
| Edge | +2.5% | -1.8% | -0.7% |
Why Cavalry FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.12 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cavalry FC below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC match preview
Cavalry FC is heavily favored in their upcoming match against Pacific FC, with a probability of 82% for a win. The model predicts a most likely scoreline of 3-0, with an expected goals tally of 3.29 for Cavalry FC compared to just 0.94 for Pacific FC. The analysis indicates a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 79%, and both teams scoring at 59%.
In terms of recent form, Cavalry FC has recorded two losses followed by three matches without defeat, while Pacific FC has struggled, with two losses and only one win in their last six matches. Historically, Cavalry FC has dominated the head-to-head encounters, winning 8 of the last 10 matchups against Pacific FC, who have only managed one victory in that span.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cavalry FC and Pacific FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.02
Cavalry FC and Pacific FC attack and defence ratings
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Group Stage fixtures
Before and after this match
Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cavalry FC | 78.4% | 1.28 | +2.5% | 1.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cavalry FC win | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cavalry FC | 78.4% |
| Draw | 14.1% | |
| Pacific FC | 7.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% |
| No | 42.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 21.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cavalry FC win | 62.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 19.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 9.1% |
| 2-0 | 8.7% | |
| 3-1 | 8.2% |
Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC stats
Cavalry FC and Pacific FC recent form
| Cavalry FC |
DLLWDW |
| Pacific FC |
LLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cavalry FC and Pacific FC season so far
Cavalry FC record
- They have won 16 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Pacific FC record
- They have won 2 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Pacific FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Cavalry FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Pacific FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Championship | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-05 | Pacific FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Pacific FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-3 |
| 2025-08-04 | Pacific FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Cavalry FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Cavalry FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Pacific FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2024-08-24 | Cavalry FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 78.3%, draw 14.1%, away 7.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.15 | 6.05 | 12.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.17 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Betano | 1.19 | 7.00 | 11.75 |
| Betfair | 1.12 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.18 | 7.20 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 6.00 | 11.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20 | 6.38 | 9.43 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 5.50 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .