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Canadian Premier League · Full time ·Group Stage

Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa

0 – 2 Full time

1′Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
6′Juan David Quintana Echeverry
17′Joaquim Coulanges
28′Aidan Daniels
38′Tim Arnaud
45′Kamron HabibullahG. Antinoro
45′Tim ArnaudJean-Aniel Assi
62′Aidan DanielsMarco Bustos
62′Juan David Quintana EcheverryChristian Greco-Taylor
64′Ballou Tabla
70′Roshawn Kadeem Delahaye JuhmiLukas Browning Lagerfeldt
70′J. BelluzMarley Edwards
75′R. KrattAlejandro Diaz
77′Diego Gutiérrez
78′Christian Greco-Taylor
79′Emiliano·García
79′Emiliano·GarcíaJuan Castro
79′Nicolas Fleuriau ChateauRalph Khoury
90′Ballou TablaTyr Walker

Westhills Stadium, LangfordReferee: S. Noshinravani

Pacific FC 30%
Draw 23%
Atlético Ottawa 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
48 Possession % 52
1 Corners 8
10 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
1 Saves 3
248 Accurate passes 295

Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPacific FCDrawAtlético Ottawa
Model30.2%24.7%45.1%
Market29.5%22.7%47.8%
Final29.7%23.2%47.1%
Edge+0.2%+0.5%-0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Atlético Ottawa

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.47.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pacific FC ↓ / Atlético Ottaw → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Pacific FC and Atlético Ottawa expected goals

Pacific FC 1.47
Atlético Ottawa 1.82

Total expected goals: 3.29

Pacific FC and Atlético Ottawa attack and defence ratings

Pacific FC

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.44 +44%

Atlético Ottawa

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa: result vs prediction

Pacific FC 0 – 2 Atlético Ottawa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atlético Ottawa 47.1% 2.12 -0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.8% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.5% 1.53 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.9% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pacific FC29.7%
Draw23.2%
Atlético Ottawa47.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.8%
Under 2.536.2%
Both teams to scoreYes65.5%
No34.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.9%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)70.3%
Handicap -1Atlético Ottawa win25.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss54.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
1-29.1%
2-17.3%

Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa stats

Pacific FC and Atlético Ottawa recent form

newest first
Pacific FC LLWDLD
Atlético Ottawa WWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pacific FC and Atlético Ottawa going into this match

league record before kick-off

Pacific FC record

  • They have won 2 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atlético Ottawa record

  • They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Pacific FC wins 3Draws 6Atlético Ottawa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-05Atlético OttawaPacific FCCanadian Premier League0-0
2026-07-26Atlético OttawaPacific FCCanadian Premier League3-2
2026-05-30Pacific FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Premier League2-2
2025-09-06Atlético OttawaPacific FCCanadian Premier League2-0
2025-07-27Pacific FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Premier League0-2
2025-06-07Pacific FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Premier League0-1
2025-05-03Atlético OttawaPacific FCCanadian Premier League3-1
2024-09-22Atlético OttawaPacific FCCanadian Premier League1-1
2024-08-17Pacific FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Premier League0-3
2024-07-07Atlético OttawaPacific FCCanadian Premier League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.5%, draw 22.7%, away 47.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.28 3.94 1.82
Bet365 3.10 4.00 1.90
BetVictor 3.13 4.00 1.91
Betano 3.05 4.00 2.02
Betfair 3.00 4.00 1.90
Dafabet 3.05 4.10 2.01
Marathonbet 3.20 3.94 1.80
Pinnacle 3.05 4.13 1.92
SBO 2.80 3.37 1.90
William Hill 3.10 3.70 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.08 ▼ -0.12
X 4.00 ▲ +0.20
2 1.90 ▼ -0.01

4 snapshots recorded, from .