Pacific FC
vs
Atlético Ottawa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atlético Ottawa
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa
| Probability | Pacific FC | Draw | Atlético Ottawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.2% | 24.7% | 45.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.2% | 24.7% | 45.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Atlético Ottawa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa match preview
Pacific FC faces Atlético Ottawa in a Canadian Premier League clash, with model probabilities indicating a 34% chance of a Pacific FC victory, a 25% likelihood of a draw, and a 41% chance for Atlético Ottawa to win. The expected goals for Pacific FC stand at 1.60, while Atlético Ottawa is projected at 1.77. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability.
Recent form shows Pacific FC with a record of L-W-D-L-D-D, while Atlético Ottawa has performed better with W-W-L-L-D-W. In their last ten encounters, Pacific FC has secured 1 win, while Atlético Ottawa has dominated with 6 wins and 3 draws. The probabilities suggest a high chance of over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 67%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pacific FC and Atlético Ottawa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
Pacific FC and Atlético Ottawa attack and defence ratings
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Group Stage fixtures
Before and after this match
Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético Ottawa | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pacific FC | 30.2% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Atlético Ottawa | 45.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.5% |
| No | 34.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atlético Ottawa win | 25.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 54.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.3% |
Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa stats
Pacific FC and Atlético Ottawa recent form
| Pacific FC |
LLWDLD |
| Atlético Ottawa |
WWLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pacific FC and Atlético Ottawa season so far
Pacific FC record
- They have won 2 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlético Ottawa record
- They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 51% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Atlético Ottawa | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Atlético Ottawa | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Pacific FC | Atlético Ottawa | Canadian Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-06 | Atlético Ottawa | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Pacific FC | Atlético Ottawa | Canadian Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-06-07 | Pacific FC | Atlético Ottawa | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Atlético Ottawa | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Atlético Ottawa | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | Pacific FC | Atlético Ottawa | Canadian Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2024-07-07 | Atlético Ottawa | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.