Canadian Premier League
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Forge
vs
Pacific FC
3 – 0 Full time
| 43′ | Noah Jensen | ||
| 45′ | Aidan DanielsM. Vales | ||
| 45′ | Lukas Browning LagerfeldtRoshawn Kadeem Delahaye Juhmi | ||
| 50′ | Lucas Cavallini | ||
| 60′ | Marco BustosMatteo Schiavoni | ||
| 65′ | Roshawn Kadeem Delahaye Juhmi | ||
| 76′ | M. BourgeoisNana Ampomah | ||
| 76′ | Hoce Massundaaghilas sadek | ||
| 76′ | Lucas CavalliniIsmael Oketokoun Hassane | ||
| 77′ | Alejandro Diaz | ||
| 83′ | Noah JensenBen Paton | ||
| 85′ | Anthony Aromatario | ||
| 90′ | Ben Paton | ||
| 90′ | Antoine BatisseDaniel Krutzen |
Forge
70%
Draw
18%
Pacific FC
12%
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 401 | Accurate passes | 329 |
Forge vs Pacific FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Forge vs Pacific FC
| Probability | Forge | Draw | Pacific FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.2% | 18.2% | 12.7% |
| Market | 69.8% | 18.2% | 12.0% |
| Final | 69.7% | 18.2% | 12.2% |
| Edge | -0.6% | -0.0% | +0.7% |
Why Forge
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 1.04.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
69%
No goals
4%
Forge and Pacific FC expected goals
Forge
2.53
Pacific FC
1.04
Total expected goals: 3.57
Forge and Pacific FC attack and defence ratings
Forge
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Pacific FC
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.39 +39%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Forge vs Pacific FC: result vs prediction
Forge 3 – 0 Pacific FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Forge vs Pacific FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Forge | 69.7% | 1.44 | -0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Forge win | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Forge | 69.7% |
| Draw | 18.2% | |
| Pacific FC | 12.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% |
| No | 39.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Forge win | 48.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 31.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.4% |
| 2-0 | 9.0% | |
| 1-1 | 8.1% |
Forge vs Pacific FC stats
Forge and Pacific FC recent form
| Forge |
DDDWDL |
| Pacific FC |
LWDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Forge and Pacific FC going into this match
Forge record
- They have won 14 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pacific FC record
- They have won 2 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Forge vs Pacific FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
8Forge wins
1Draws
1Pacific FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Forge | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Pacific FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Forge | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Forge | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Pacific FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Pacific FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | Pacific FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-30 | Forge | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-14 | Forge | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-11 | Pacific FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Forge vs Pacific FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.8%, draw 18.2%, away 12.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.27 | 4.95 | 8.35 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.34 | 5.30 | 7.50 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 4.95 | 7.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30 | 5.26 | 7.51 |
| SBO | 1.27 | 4.60 | 5.99 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.29 ▲ +0.08
X
4.95 ▼ -0.70
2
7.51 ▼ -2.22
4 snapshots recorded, from .