Pacific FC
vs
Forge
Garuda Lions Prediction: Forge
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.01.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Forge is the favourite, not a value bet.
Pacific FC vs Forge overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pacific FC vs Forge
| Probability | Pacific FC | Draw | Forge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.0% | 17.8% | 70.2% |
| Market | 12.9% | 17.4% | 69.6% |
| Final | 12.7% | 17.5% | 69.8% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +0.1% | +0.1% |
Why Forge
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.37, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.4% per unit staked (our 69.8% × 1.37 − 1).
Pacific FC vs Forge match preview
Pacific FC faces Forge in a Canadian Premier League matchup on October 25, 2026. According to our model, Pacific FC has a 12% chance of winning, while Forge is favored with a 70% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2 in favor of Forge, with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for Pacific FC stand at 1.01, compared to Forge's 2.56, indicating a significant disparity in offensive output.
In terms of recent form, Pacific FC has struggled, recording four consecutive losses followed by a draw and a win. In contrast, Forge has been in strong form, with three wins and three draws in their last six matches. The model indicates a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pacific FC and Forge expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.57
Pacific FC and Forge attack and defence ratings
Pacific FC
Forge
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Group Stage fixtures
- HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC — team news & stats
- Supra du Quebec vs York United
- Vancouver FC v HFX Wanderers FC — match page
- Atlético Ottawa vs Forge — team news & stats
- Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC
- Cavalry FC v Vancouver FC — match page
- HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec — team news & stats
- York United v Atlético Ottawa — match page
Before and after this match
Pacific FC vs Forge markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Forge | 69.8% | 1.43 | +0.1% | 1.37 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Forge win | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pacific FC | 12.7% |
| Draw | 17.5% | |
| Forge | 69.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% |
| No | 40.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 30.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Forge win | 49.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 29.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.3% |
| 0-2 | 9.2% | |
| 1-1 | 8.0% |
Pacific FC vs Forge stats
Pacific FC and Forge recent form
| Pacific FC |
LLLLWD |
| Forge |
WWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pacific FC and Forge season so far
Pacific FC record
- They have won 2 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Forge record
- They have won 17 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pacific FC vs Forge head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Forge | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Forge | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Pacific FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Forge | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Forge | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Pacific FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Pacific FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | Pacific FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-30 | Forge | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-14 | Forge | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pacific FC vs Forge odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.9%, draw 17.4%, away 69.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.70 | 5.20 | 1.27 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 7.50 | 5.25 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 7.10 | 5.10 | 1.37 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Dafabet | 6.80 | 5.40 | 1.36 |
| Marathonbet | 7.30 | 5.20 | 1.26 |
| Pinnacle | 6.96 | 5.19 | 1.32 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 4.60 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .