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Canadian Premier League · Full time ·Group Stage

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC

2 – 2 Full time

6′Jason Bahamboula
32′Daan Klomp
34′E. Kobza
40′Caniggia Elva
55′Ali Musse
60′Lucas OlguinS. Zitman
69′Liam MacKenzieNelson Pierre
71′S. Zitman
72′B. Kamdem
75′Ali MusseGoteh Ntignee
75′I. JohnstonYohan Bai
75′Miguel Arilla GuinotA. Reid
75′Jefferson AlphonseTavio Ciccarelli
77′Harrison Paton
79′Caniggia ElvaMaël Henry
90′Nathaniel EdwardsCurtis Ofori
90′Thomas Meilleur Giguère
90′Lorenzo Callegari

Wanderers Grounds, HalifaxReferee: S. Bowman

HFX Wanderers FC 26%
Draw 24%
Cavalry FC 51%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 3
60 Possession % 40
11 Corners 4
14 Fouls 14
1 Saves 2
420 Accurate passes 256

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHFX Wanderers FCDrawCavalry FC
Model32.0%22.9%45.1%
Market23.6%24.0%52.3%
Final25.7%23.7%50.5%
Edge+2.1%-0.3%-1.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Cavalry FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.71.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

HFX Wanderers ↓ / Cavalry FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 8% 6% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

HFX Wanderers FC and Cavalry FC expected goals

HFX Wanderers FC 1.71
Cavalry FC 2.02

Total expected goals: 3.73

HFX Wanderers FC and Cavalry FC attack and defence ratings

HFX Wanderers FC

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Cavalry FC

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC: result vs prediction

HFX Wanderers FC 2 – 2 Cavalry FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cavalry FC 50.5% 1.98 -1.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.1% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.9% 1.39 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.3% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.4% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2HFX Wanderers FC25.7%
Draw23.7%
Cavalry FC50.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.1%
Under 2.527.9%
Both teams to scoreYes71.9%
No28.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.5%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)74.3%
Handicap -1Cavalry FC win25.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss55.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.1%
1-28.4%
2-27.1%

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC stats

HFX Wanderers FC and Cavalry FC recent form

newest first
HFX Wanderers FC DLWWLL
Cavalry FC LLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

HFX Wanderers FC and Cavalry FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

HFX Wanderers FC record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cavalry FC record

  • They have won 16 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1HFX Wanderers FC wins 3Draws 6Cavalry FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-07HFX Wanderers FCCavalry FCCanadian Premier League1-3
2026-07-18Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League1-1
2026-06-06Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League2-0
2025-09-13Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League3-1
2025-08-09Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League0-0
2025-06-14HFX Wanderers FCCavalry FCCanadian Premier League1-1
2025-05-10HFX Wanderers FCCavalry FCCanadian Premier League0-3
2024-10-12Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League2-1
2024-08-10Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League3-2
2024-07-01HFX Wanderers FCCavalry FCCanadian Premier League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.6%, draw 24.0%, away 52.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.96 3.78 1.69
Bet365 4.00 3.75 1.73
BetVictor 3.80 3.80 1.75
Betano 4.00 3.80 1.80
Betfair 3.90 3.80 1.70
Dafabet 3.85 3.85 1.82
Marathonbet 3.86 3.78 1.67
Pinnacle 3.81 3.80 1.76
SBO 3.46 3.42 1.67
William Hill 3.75 3.40 1.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.85 ▼ -0.06
X 3.79 ▲ +0.01
2 1.74 ▲ +0.01

4 snapshots recorded, from .